How Carrum - Patterson Lakes voted
SA2 area in Victoria · federal division: Dunkley · federal elections 2019, 2022, 2025
At the 2025 federal election, residents of Carrum - Patterson Lakes favoured Labor 55.0% (v Coalition 45.0%) on a two-party-preferred basis, 1.2 points to Labor since 2022. Labor led first preferences with 37.6%.
Results by election
| 2019 | 2022 | 2025 | Swing 2022→25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-party preferred | Lab 54.2 | Lab 53.8 | Lab 55.0 | Lab +1.2 |
| Labor | 42.9% | 37.6% | 37.6% | -0.0 |
| Coalition | 37.1% | 34.2% | 34.9% | +0.6 |
| Greens | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | -0.6 |
| One Nation | 0.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | +2.7 |
| Independents | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.5% | +2.5 |
| Others | 10.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | -5.3 |
2021 Census profile
| Indicator | Carrum - Patterson Lakes | Typical area |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 44 | 39 |
| Median household income ($/week) | $1,853 | $1,753 |
| Bachelor degree or higher % | 23.8% | 21.4% |
| No religion % | 48.0% | 44.7% |
| Renting (all) % | 21.2% | 27.2% |
| Owned outright % | 36.5% | 32.7% |
| Born overseas % | 25.7% | 23.6% |
| Born in non-English-speaking country % | 15.9% | 12.5% |
Usual residents: 12,032 (9,634 aged 18+). "Typical area" is the median across all areas.
Where residents voted in 2025
| Polling place | Type | Share of residents' votes | In this area |
|---|---|---|---|
| Postal | Declaration: Postal | 19% | |
| Carrum | Ordinary | 14% | yes |
| Patterson Lakes | Ordinary | 14% | yes |
| Carrum Downs DUNKLEY PPVC | PPVC | 13% | |
| Patterson Central | Ordinary | 12% | yes |
| Mordialloc DUNKLEY PPVC | PPVC | 9% | |
| Frankston DUNKLEY PPVC | PPVC | 5% | |
| Pre-Poll | Declaration: Pre-Poll | 4% |
Top polling places by estimated votes from this area, including postal and other declaration votes.
Other areas in Dunkley
- Chelsea - Bonbeach
- Chelsea Heights
- Carrum Downs
- Frankston
- Frankston North
- Frankston South
- Langwarrin
- Seaford (Vic.)
- Skye - Sandhurst
- Mount Eliza
Sources: Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) federal election results and votes-by-SA1 files, 2019–2025; Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Australian Statistical Geography Standard Edition 3 boundaries and 2021 Census DataPacks. Both © Commonwealth of Australia, used under CC BY 4.0. Basemap © Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors. Area results are estimates of how residents voted, not official counts — see the methods. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.