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Dobell: preference flows

NSW · how preferences were distributed at the 2025, 2022, 2019 Federal elections

202520222019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2025Emma McBRIDELaborBrendan SMALLLiberal19,5036Majority at count 6
2022Emma McBRIDELaborMichael FENELEYLiberal13,2655Majority at count 4
2019Emma McBRIDELaborJilly PILONLiberal3,0354Majority at count 4

2025 Federal election

Emma McBRIDE (Labor) won Dobell in 2025 with 61,465 of the 103,427 votes in the final count, beating Brendan SMALL (Liberal) by 19,503 votes (59.4% to 40.6%). Mcbride led on first preferences with 42.8% of 103,427 formal votes and passed the 51,714-vote majority at count 6.

103,427 formal votes8 candidates6 counts19,503-vote final margin

Dobell 2025: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Dobell at the 2025 Federal election. Emma McBRIDE was elected after 6 counts, 61,465 votes to 41,962 for Brendan SMALL. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Emma McBRIDE: 44,268 votes stay with themBrendan SMALL: 28,757 votes stay with themSimon George COOPER: 10,647 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 9,040 votes stay with themTim CLAYDON: 4,895 votes stay with themAnthony TAWAF: 2,855 votes stay with themPatrick MURPHY: 1,906 votes stay with them442 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSON186 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Anthony TAWAF118 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Brendan SMALL98 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE96 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Tim CLAYDON70 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Patrick MURPHY49 votes from Isaac CHALIK (excluded) go to Simon George COOPEREmma McBRIDE: 44,366 votes stay with themBrendan SMALL: 28,875 votes stay with themSimon George COOPER: 10,696 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 9,482 votes stay with themTim CLAYDON: 4,991 votes stay with themAnthony TAWAF: 3,041 votes stay with them623 votes from Patrick MURPHY (excluded) go to Simon George COOPER621 votes from Patrick MURPHY (excluded) go to Tim CLAYDON354 votes from Patrick MURPHY (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE179 votes from Patrick MURPHY (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSON104 votes from Patrick MURPHY (excluded) go to Brendan SMALL95 votes from Patrick MURPHY (excluded) go to Anthony TAWAFEmma McBRIDE: 44,720 votes stay with themBrendan SMALL: 28,979 votes stay with themSimon George COOPER: 11,319 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 9,661 votes stay with themTim CLAYDON: 5,612 votes stay with them1,459 votes from Anthony TAWAF (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSON632 votes from Anthony TAWAF (excluded) go to Tim CLAYDON452 votes from Anthony TAWAF (excluded) go to Brendan SMALL397 votes from Anthony TAWAF (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE196 votes from Anthony TAWAF (excluded) go to Simon George COOPEREmma McBRIDE: 45,117 votes stay with themBrendan SMALL: 29,431 votes stay with themSimon George COOPER: 11,515 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 11,120 votes stay with them1,889 votes from Tim CLAYDON (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE1,872 votes from Tim CLAYDON (excluded) go to Simon George COOPER1,816 votes from Tim CLAYDON (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSON667 votes from Tim CLAYDON (excluded) go to Brendan SMALLEmma McBRIDE: 47,006 votes stay with themBrendan SMALL: 30,098 votes stay with themSimon George COOPER: 13,387 votes stay with them7,761 votes from Martin STEVENSON (excluded) go to Brendan SMALL2,603 votes from Martin STEVENSON (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE2,572 votes from Martin STEVENSON (excluded) go to Simon George COOPEREmma McBRIDE: 49,609 votes stay with themBrendan SMALL: 37,859 votes stay with them11,856 votes from Simon George COOPER (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE4,103 votes from Simon George COOPER (excluded) go to Brendan SMALLEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 44,268 votes at first preferencesMcBRIDEBrendan SMALL (LP): 28,757 votes at first preferencesSMALLSimon George COOPER (GRN): 10,647 votes at first preferencesCOOPERMartin STEVENSON (ON): 9,040 votes at first preferencesSTEVENSONTim CLAYDON (HMP): 4,895 votes at first preferencesCLAYDONAnthony TAWAF (CYA): 2,855 votes at first preferencesPatrick MURPHY (AJP): 1,906 votes at first preferencesIsaac CHALIK (LTP): 1,059 votes at first preferencesEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 44,366 votes at count 1McBRIDEBrendan SMALL (LP): 28,875 votes at count 1SMALLSimon George COOPER (GRN): 10,696 votes at count 1COOPERMartin STEVENSON (ON): 9,482 votes at count 1STEVENSONTim CLAYDON (HMP): 4,991 votes at count 1CLAYDONAnthony TAWAF (CYA): 3,041 votes at count 1Patrick MURPHY (AJP): 1,976 votes at count 1Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 44,720 votes at count 2McBRIDEBrendan SMALL (LP): 28,979 votes at count 2SMALLSimon George COOPER (GRN): 11,319 votes at count 2COOPERMartin STEVENSON (ON): 9,661 votes at count 2STEVENSONTim CLAYDON (HMP): 5,612 votes at count 2CLAYDONAnthony TAWAF (CYA): 3,136 votes at count 2Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 45,117 votes at count 3McBRIDEBrendan SMALL (LP): 29,431 votes at count 3SMALLSimon George COOPER (GRN): 11,515 votes at count 3COOPERMartin STEVENSON (ON): 11,120 votes at count 3STEVENSONTim CLAYDON (HMP): 6,244 votes at count 3CLAYDONEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 47,006 votes at count 4McBRIDEBrendan SMALL (LP): 30,098 votes at count 4SMALLSimon George COOPER (GRN): 13,387 votes at count 4COOPERMartin STEVENSON (ON): 12,936 votes at count 4STEVENSONEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 49,609 votes at count 5McBRIDEBrendan SMALL (LP): 37,859 votes at count 5SMALLSimon George COOPER (GRN): 15,959 votes at count 5COOPEREmma McBRIDE (ALP): 61,465 votes at count 6McBRIDE · electedBrendan SMALL (LP): 41,962 votes at count 6SMALL · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Dobell 2025: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Isaac CHALIKLibertarian1,059
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 442 (41.7%)
  • Anthony TAWAF (CYA): 186 (17.6%)
  • Brendan SMALL (LP): 118 (11.1%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 98 (9.3%)
  • Tim CLAYDON (HMP): 96 (9.1%)
  • Patrick MURPHY (AJP): 70 (6.6%)
  • Simon George COOPER (GRN): 49 (4.6%)
2Patrick MURPHYAnimal Justice Party1,976
  • Simon George COOPER (GRN): 623 (31.5%)
  • Tim CLAYDON (HMP): 621 (31.4%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 354 (17.9%)
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 179 (9.1%)
  • Brendan SMALL (LP): 104 (5.3%)
  • Anthony TAWAF (CYA): 95 (4.8%)
3Anthony TAWAFTrumpet of Patriots3,136
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 1,459 (46.5%)
  • Tim CLAYDON (HMP): 632 (20.2%)
  • Brendan SMALL (LP): 452 (14.4%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 397 (12.7%)
  • Simon George COOPER (GRN): 196 (6.2%)
4Tim CLAYDONLegalise Cannabis Party6,244
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 1,889 (30.3%)
  • Simon George COOPER (GRN): 1,872 (30.0%)
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 1,816 (29.1%)
  • Brendan SMALL (LP): 667 (10.7%)
5Martin STEVENSONPauline Hanson's One Nation12,936
  • Brendan SMALL (LP): 7,761 (60.0%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 2,603 (20.1%)
  • Simon George COOPER (GRN): 2,572 (19.9%)
6Simon George COOPERThe Greens15,959
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 11,856 (74.3%)
  • Brendan SMALL (LP): 4,103 (25.7%)

Votes after every count

Dobell 2025: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6
Emma McBRIDELabor · elected44,26844,36644,72045,11747,00649,60961,465
Brendan SMALLLiberal28,75728,87528,97929,43130,09837,85941,962
Simon George COOPERThe Greens10,64710,69611,31911,51513,38715,959–
Martin STEVENSONPauline Hanson's One Nation9,0409,4829,66111,12012,936––
Tim CLAYDONLegalise Cannabis Party4,8954,9915,6126,244–––
Anthony TAWAFTrumpet of Patriots2,8553,0413,136––––
Patrick MURPHYAnimal Justice Party1,9061,976–––––
Isaac CHALIKLibertarian1,059––––––

2022 Federal election

Emma McBRIDE (Labor) won Dobell in 2022 with 57,491 of the 101,717 votes in the final count, beating Michael FENELEY (Liberal) by 13,265 votes (56.5% to 43.5%). Mcbride led on first preferences with 42.9% of 101,717 formal votes and passed the 50,859-vote majority at count 4.

101,717 formal votes7 candidates5 counts13,265-vote final margin

Dobell 2022: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Dobell at the 2022 Federal election. Emma McBRIDE was elected after 5 counts, 57,491 votes to 44,226 for Michael FENELEY. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Emma McBRIDE: 43,595 votes stay with themMichael FENELEY: 34,276 votes stay with themCath CONNOR: 8,700 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 7,583 votes stay with themDean James MACKIN: 3,818 votes stay with themGeoff BARNES: 2,202 votes stay with them520 votes from Eliot METHERELL (excluded) go to Michael FENELEY387 votes from Eliot METHERELL (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSON283 votes from Eliot METHERELL (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE189 votes from Eliot METHERELL (excluded) go to Dean James MACKIN87 votes from Eliot METHERELL (excluded) go to Cath CONNOR77 votes from Eliot METHERELL (excluded) go to Geoff BARNESEmma McBRIDE: 43,878 votes stay with themMichael FENELEY: 34,796 votes stay with themCath CONNOR: 8,787 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 7,970 votes stay with themDean James MACKIN: 4,007 votes stay with them773 votes from Geoff BARNES (excluded) go to Cath CONNOR667 votes from Geoff BARNES (excluded) go to Dean James MACKIN375 votes from Geoff BARNES (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE253 votes from Geoff BARNES (excluded) go to Michael FENELEY211 votes from Geoff BARNES (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSONEmma McBRIDE: 44,253 votes stay with themMichael FENELEY: 35,049 votes stay with themCath CONNOR: 9,560 votes stay with themMartin STEVENSON: 8,181 votes stay with them2,351 votes from Dean James MACKIN (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSON1,185 votes from Dean James MACKIN (excluded) go to Michael FENELEY594 votes from Dean James MACKIN (excluded) go to Cath CONNOR544 votes from Dean James MACKIN (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDEEmma McBRIDE: 44,797 votes stay with themMichael FENELEY: 36,234 votes stay with them7,605 votes from Cath CONNOR (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE1,293 votes from Cath CONNOR (excluded) go to Michael FENELEY1,256 votes from Cath CONNOR (excluded) go to Martin STEVENSONMartin STEVENSON: 10,532 votes stay with themEmma McBRIDE: 52,402 votes stay with themMichael FENELEY: 37,527 votes stay with them6,699 votes from Martin STEVENSON (excluded) go to Michael FENELEY5,089 votes from Martin STEVENSON (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDEEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 43,595 votes at first preferencesMcBRIDEMichael FENELEY (LP): 34,276 votes at first preferencesFENELEYCath CONNOR (GRN): 8,700 votes at first preferencesCONNORMartin STEVENSON (ON): 7,583 votes at first preferencesSTEVENSONDean James MACKIN (UAPP): 3,818 votes at first preferencesGeoff BARNES (SOPA): 2,202 votes at first preferencesEliot METHERELL (LDP): 1,543 votes at first preferencesEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 43,878 votes at count 1McBRIDEMichael FENELEY (LP): 34,796 votes at count 1FENELEYCath CONNOR (GRN): 8,787 votes at count 1CONNORMartin STEVENSON (ON): 7,970 votes at count 1STEVENSONDean James MACKIN (UAPP): 4,007 votes at count 1MACKINGeoff BARNES (SOPA): 2,279 votes at count 1Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 44,253 votes at count 2McBRIDEMichael FENELEY (LP): 35,049 votes at count 2FENELEYCath CONNOR (GRN): 9,560 votes at count 2CONNORMartin STEVENSON (ON): 8,181 votes at count 2STEVENSONDean James MACKIN (UAPP): 4,674 votes at count 2MACKINEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 44,797 votes at count 3McBRIDEMichael FENELEY (LP): 36,234 votes at count 3FENELEYCath CONNOR (GRN): 10,154 votes at count 3CONNORMartin STEVENSON (ON): 10,532 votes at count 3STEVENSONEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 52,402 votes at count 4McBRIDEMichael FENELEY (LP): 37,527 votes at count 4FENELEYMartin STEVENSON (ON): 11,788 votes at count 4STEVENSONEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 57,491 votes at count 5McBRIDE · electedMichael FENELEY (LP): 44,226 votes at count 5FENELEY · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Dobell 2022: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Eliot METHERELLLiberal Democrats1,543
  • Michael FENELEY (LP): 520 (33.7%)
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 387 (25.1%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 283 (18.3%)
  • Dean James MACKIN (UAPP): 189 (12.2%)
  • Cath CONNOR (GRN): 87 (5.6%)
  • Geoff BARNES (SOPA): 77 (5.0%)
2Geoff BARNESFUSION: Science, Pirate, Secular, Climate Emergency2,279
  • Cath CONNOR (GRN): 773 (33.9%)
  • Dean James MACKIN (UAPP): 667 (29.3%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 375 (16.5%)
  • Michael FENELEY (LP): 253 (11.1%)
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 211 (9.3%)
3Dean James MACKINUnited Australia Party4,674
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 2,351 (50.3%)
  • Michael FENELEY (LP): 1,185 (25.4%)
  • Cath CONNOR (GRN): 594 (12.7%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 544 (11.6%)
4Cath CONNORThe Greens10,154
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 7,605 (74.9%)
  • Michael FENELEY (LP): 1,293 (12.7%)
  • Martin STEVENSON (ON): 1,256 (12.4%)
5Martin STEVENSONPauline Hanson's One Nation11,788
  • Michael FENELEY (LP): 6,699 (56.8%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 5,089 (43.2%)

Votes after every count

Dobell 2022: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5
Emma McBRIDELabor · elected43,59543,87844,25344,79752,40257,491
Michael FENELEYLiberal34,27634,79635,04936,23437,52744,226
Cath CONNORThe Greens8,7008,7879,56010,154––
Martin STEVENSONPauline Hanson's One Nation7,5837,9708,18110,53211,788–
Dean James MACKINUnited Australia Party3,8184,0074,674–––
Geoff BARNESFUSION: Science, Pirate, Secular, Climate Emergency2,2022,279––––
Eliot METHERELLLiberal Democrats1,543–––––

2019 Federal election

Emma McBRIDE (Labor) won Dobell in 2019 with 52,244 of the 101,453 votes in the final count, beating Jilly PILON (Liberal) by 3,035 votes (51.5% to 48.5%). Mcbride led on first preferences with 41.5% of 101,453 formal votes and passed the 50,727-vote majority at count 4.

101,453 formal votes6 candidates4 counts3,035-vote final margin

Dobell 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Dobell at the 2019 Federal election. Emma McBRIDE was elected after 4 counts, 52,244 votes to 49,209 for Jilly PILON. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Emma McBRIDE: 42,093 votes stay with themJilly PILON: 41,326 votes stay with themScott RICKARD: 7,579 votes stay with themAaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR: 5,411 votes stay with themGregory Francis STEPHENSON: 3,176 votes stay with them987 votes from Paula GRUNDY (excluded) go to Jilly PILON381 votes from Paula GRUNDY (excluded) go to Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR210 votes from Paula GRUNDY (excluded) go to Gregory Francis STEPHENSON183 votes from Paula GRUNDY (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE107 votes from Paula GRUNDY (excluded) go to Scott RICKARDEmma McBRIDE: 42,276 votes stay with themJilly PILON: 42,313 votes stay with themScott RICKARD: 7,686 votes stay with themAaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR: 5,792 votes stay with them1,005 votes from Gregory Francis STEPHENSON (excluded) go to Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR1,004 votes from Gregory Francis STEPHENSON (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE704 votes from Gregory Francis STEPHENSON (excluded) go to Scott RICKARD673 votes from Gregory Francis STEPHENSON (excluded) go to Jilly PILONEmma McBRIDE: 43,280 votes stay with themJilly PILON: 42,986 votes stay with themScott RICKARD: 8,390 votes stay with them3,755 votes from Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (excluded) go to Jilly PILON1,610 votes from Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE1,432 votes from Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (excluded) go to Scott RICKARDEmma McBRIDE: 44,890 votes stay with themJilly PILON: 46,741 votes stay with them7,354 votes from Scott RICKARD (excluded) go to Emma McBRIDE2,468 votes from Scott RICKARD (excluded) go to Jilly PILONEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 42,093 votes at first preferencesMcBRIDEJilly PILON (LP): 41,326 votes at first preferencesPILONScott RICKARD (GRN): 7,579 votes at first preferencesRICKARDAaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (UAPP): 5,411 votes at first preferencesHARPLEY-CARRGregory Francis STEPHENSON (IND): 3,176 votes at first preferencesPaula GRUNDY (CDP): 1,868 votes at first preferencesEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 42,276 votes at count 1McBRIDEJilly PILON (LP): 42,313 votes at count 1PILONScott RICKARD (GRN): 7,686 votes at count 1RICKARDAaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (UAPP): 5,792 votes at count 1HARPLEY-CARRGregory Francis STEPHENSON (IND): 3,386 votes at count 1Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 43,280 votes at count 2McBRIDEJilly PILON (LP): 42,986 votes at count 2PILONScott RICKARD (GRN): 8,390 votes at count 2RICKARDAaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (UAPP): 6,797 votes at count 2HARPLEY-CARREmma McBRIDE (ALP): 44,890 votes at count 3McBRIDEJilly PILON (LP): 46,741 votes at count 3PILONScott RICKARD (GRN): 9,822 votes at count 3RICKARDEmma McBRIDE (ALP): 52,244 votes at count 4McBRIDE · electedJilly PILON (LP): 49,209 votes at count 4PILON · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Dobell 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Paula GRUNDYChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)1,868
  • Jilly PILON (LP): 987 (52.8%)
  • Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (UAPP): 381 (20.4%)
  • Gregory Francis STEPHENSON (IND): 210 (11.2%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 183 (9.8%)
  • Scott RICKARD (GRN): 107 (5.7%)
2Gregory Francis STEPHENSONIndependent3,386
  • Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARR (UAPP): 1,005 (29.7%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 1,004 (29.7%)
  • Scott RICKARD (GRN): 704 (20.8%)
  • Jilly PILON (LP): 673 (19.9%)
3Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARRUnited Australia Party6,797
  • Jilly PILON (LP): 3,755 (55.2%)
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 1,610 (23.7%)
  • Scott RICKARD (GRN): 1,432 (21.1%)
4Scott RICKARDThe Greens9,822
  • Emma McBRIDE (ALP): 7,354 (74.9%)
  • Jilly PILON (LP): 2,468 (25.1%)

Votes after every count

Dobell 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4
Emma McBRIDELabor · elected42,09342,27643,28044,89052,244
Jilly PILONLiberal41,32642,31342,98646,74149,209
Scott RICKARDThe Greens7,5797,6868,3909,822–
Aaron Gregory HARPLEY-CARRUnited Australia Party5,4115,7926,797––
Gregory Francis STEPHENSONIndependent3,1763,386–––
Paula GRUNDYChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)1,868––––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

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