How Cairnlea voted
SA2 area in Victoria · federal division: Fraser · federal elections 2019, 2022, 2025
At the 2025 federal election, residents of Cairnlea favoured Labor 68.3% (v Coalition 31.7%) on a two-party-preferred basis, 6.3 points to Labor since 2022. Labor led first preferences with 45.8%.
Results by election
| 2019 | 2022 | 2025 | Swing 2022→25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-party preferred | Lab 65.5 | Lab 62.0 | Lab 68.3 | Lab +6.3 |
| Labor | 51.2% | 43.7% | 45.8% | +2.1 |
| Coalition | 23.9% | 27.7% | 18.2% | -9.6 |
| Greens | 7.9% | 12.5% | 21.6% | +9.2 |
| One Nation | 0.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | +1.8 |
| Independents | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.0 |
| Others | 9.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | -3.6 |
2021 Census profile
| Indicator | Cairnlea | Typical area |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 36 | 39 |
| Median household income ($/week) | $2,062 | $1,753 |
| Bachelor degree or higher % | 23.0% | 21.4% |
| No religion % | 22.8% | 44.7% |
| Renting (all) % | 15.2% | 27.2% |
| Owned outright % | 33.4% | 32.7% |
| Born overseas % | 53.1% | 23.6% |
| Born in non-English-speaking country % | 51.3% | 12.5% |
Usual residents: 10,038 (7,637 aged 18+). "Typical area" is the median across all areas.
Where residents voted in 2025
| Polling place | Type | Share of residents' votes | In this area |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Albans FRASER PPVC | PPVC | 34% | |
| Cairnlea (Fraser) | Ordinary | 23% | yes |
| Postal | Declaration: Postal | 20% | |
| Sunshine FRASER PPVC | PPVC | 6% | |
| Caroline Springs FRASER PPVC | PPVC | 6% | |
| Pre-Poll | Declaration: Pre-Poll | 3% | |
| Absent | Declaration: Absent | 3% | |
| Footscray FRASER PPVC | PPVC | 1% |
Top polling places by estimated votes from this area, including postal and other declaration votes.
Other areas in Fraser
- Ardeer - Albion
- Keilor Downs
- St Albans - North
- St Albans - South
- Sunshine
- Sunshine North
- Sunshine West
- Deer Park
- Derrimut
- Altona North
- Newport
- Braybrook
- Footscray
- Maribyrnong
- Seddon - Kingsville
- West Footscray - Tottenham
- Yarraville
Sources: Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) federal election results and votes-by-SA1 files, 2019–2025; Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Australian Statistical Geography Standard Edition 3 boundaries and 2021 Census DataPacks. Both © Commonwealth of Australia, used under CC BY 4.0. Basemap © Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors. Area results are estimates of how residents voted, not official counts — see the methods. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.