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Stirling: preference flows

WA · how preferences were distributed at the 2019 Federal elections

Stirling was not contested at the 2025 election — it was abolished or renamed in a redistribution. Latest results shown are from 2019.

2019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2019Vince CONNELLYLiberalMelita MARKEYAustralian Labor Party9,7995Majority at count 4

2019 Federal election

Vince CONNELLY (Liberal) won Stirling in 2019 with 48,289 of the 86,779 votes in the final count, beating Melita MARKEY (Australian Labor Party) by 9,799 votes (55.6% to 44.4%). Connelly led on first preferences with 47.0% of 86,779 formal votes and passed the 43,390-vote majority at count 4.

86,779 formal votes7 candidates5 counts9,799-vote final margin

Stirling 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Stirling at the 2019 Federal election. Vince CONNELLY was elected after 5 counts, 48,289 votes to 38,490 for Melita MARKEY. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Vince CONNELLY: 40,757 votes stay with themMelita MARKEY: 27,623 votes stay with themJudith CULLITY: 10,439 votes stay with themAngus YOUNG: 3,129 votes stay with themElizabeth RE: 1,750 votes stay with themDorothy HUTTON: 1,577 votes stay with them741 votes from Kevin HOST (excluded) go to Vince CONNELLY255 votes from Kevin HOST (excluded) go to Elizabeth RE210 votes from Kevin HOST (excluded) go to Melita MARKEY125 votes from Kevin HOST (excluded) go to Angus YOUNG95 votes from Kevin HOST (excluded) go to Judith CULLITY78 votes from Kevin HOST (excluded) go to Dorothy HUTTONVince CONNELLY: 41,498 votes stay with themMelita MARKEY: 27,833 votes stay with themJudith CULLITY: 10,534 votes stay with themAngus YOUNG: 3,254 votes stay with themElizabeth RE: 2,005 votes stay with them548 votes from Dorothy HUTTON (excluded) go to Vince CONNELLY474 votes from Dorothy HUTTON (excluded) go to Angus YOUNG236 votes from Dorothy HUTTON (excluded) go to Elizabeth RE231 votes from Dorothy HUTTON (excluded) go to Judith CULLITY166 votes from Dorothy HUTTON (excluded) go to Melita MARKEYVince CONNELLY: 42,046 votes stay with themMelita MARKEY: 27,999 votes stay with themJudith CULLITY: 10,765 votes stay with themAngus YOUNG: 3,728 votes stay with them692 votes from Elizabeth RE (excluded) go to Vince CONNELLY571 votes from Elizabeth RE (excluded) go to Judith CULLITY553 votes from Elizabeth RE (excluded) go to Melita MARKEY425 votes from Elizabeth RE (excluded) go to Angus YOUNGVince CONNELLY: 42,738 votes stay with themMelita MARKEY: 28,552 votes stay with themJudith CULLITY: 11,336 votes stay with them1,761 votes from Angus YOUNG (excluded) go to Vince CONNELLY1,570 votes from Angus YOUNG (excluded) go to Judith CULLITY822 votes from Angus YOUNG (excluded) go to Melita MARKEYVince CONNELLY: 44,499 votes stay with themMelita MARKEY: 29,374 votes stay with them9,116 votes from Judith CULLITY (excluded) go to Melita MARKEY3,790 votes from Judith CULLITY (excluded) go to Vince CONNELLYVince CONNELLY (LP): 40,757 votes at first preferencesCONNELLYMelita MARKEY (ALP): 27,623 votes at first preferencesMARKEYJudith CULLITY (GRN): 10,439 votes at first preferencesCULLITYAngus YOUNG (ON): 3,129 votes at first preferencesElizabeth RE (WAP): 1,750 votes at first preferencesDorothy HUTTON (UAPP): 1,577 votes at first preferencesKevin HOST (AUC): 1,504 votes at first preferencesVince CONNELLY (LP): 41,498 votes at count 1CONNELLYMelita MARKEY (ALP): 27,833 votes at count 1MARKEYJudith CULLITY (GRN): 10,534 votes at count 1CULLITYAngus YOUNG (ON): 3,254 votes at count 1Elizabeth RE (WAP): 2,005 votes at count 1Dorothy HUTTON (UAPP): 1,655 votes at count 1Vince CONNELLY (LP): 42,046 votes at count 2CONNELLYMelita MARKEY (ALP): 27,999 votes at count 2MARKEYJudith CULLITY (GRN): 10,765 votes at count 2CULLITYAngus YOUNG (ON): 3,728 votes at count 2YOUNGElizabeth RE (WAP): 2,241 votes at count 2Vince CONNELLY (LP): 42,738 votes at count 3CONNELLYMelita MARKEY (ALP): 28,552 votes at count 3MARKEYJudith CULLITY (GRN): 11,336 votes at count 3CULLITYAngus YOUNG (ON): 4,153 votes at count 3YOUNGVince CONNELLY (LP): 44,499 votes at count 4CONNELLYMelita MARKEY (ALP): 29,374 votes at count 4MARKEYJudith CULLITY (GRN): 12,906 votes at count 4CULLITYVince CONNELLY (LP): 48,289 votes at count 5CONNELLY · electedMelita MARKEY (ALP): 38,490 votes at count 5MARKEY · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Stirling 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Kevin HOSTAustralian Christians1,504
  • Vince CONNELLY (LP): 741 (49.3%)
  • Elizabeth RE (WAP): 255 (17.0%)
  • Melita MARKEY (ALP): 210 (14.0%)
  • Angus YOUNG (ON): 125 (8.3%)
  • Judith CULLITY (GRN): 95 (6.3%)
  • Dorothy HUTTON (UAPP): 78 (5.2%)
2Dorothy HUTTONUnited Australia Party1,655
  • Vince CONNELLY (LP): 548 (33.1%)
  • Angus YOUNG (ON): 474 (28.6%)
  • Elizabeth RE (WAP): 236 (14.3%)
  • Judith CULLITY (GRN): 231 (14.0%)
  • Melita MARKEY (ALP): 166 (10.0%)
3Elizabeth REWESTERN AUSTRALIA PARTY2,241
  • Vince CONNELLY (LP): 692 (30.9%)
  • Judith CULLITY (GRN): 571 (25.5%)
  • Melita MARKEY (ALP): 553 (24.7%)
  • Angus YOUNG (ON): 425 (19.0%)
4Angus YOUNGPauline Hanson's One Nation4,153
  • Vince CONNELLY (LP): 1,761 (42.4%)
  • Judith CULLITY (GRN): 1,570 (37.8%)
  • Melita MARKEY (ALP): 822 (19.8%)
5Judith CULLITYThe Greens (WA)12,906
  • Melita MARKEY (ALP): 9,116 (70.6%)
  • Vince CONNELLY (LP): 3,790 (29.4%)

Votes after every count

Stirling 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5
Vince CONNELLYLiberal · elected40,75741,49842,04642,73844,49948,289
Melita MARKEYAustralian Labor Party27,62327,83327,99928,55229,37438,490
Judith CULLITYThe Greens (WA)10,43910,53410,76511,33612,906–
Angus YOUNGPauline Hanson's One Nation3,1293,2543,7284,153––
Elizabeth REWESTERN AUSTRALIA PARTY1,7502,0052,241–––
Dorothy HUTTONUnited Australia Party1,5771,655––––
Kevin HOSTAustralian Christians1,504–––––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

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