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Shortland: preference flows

NSW · how preferences were distributed at the 2025, 2022, 2019 Federal elections

202520222019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2025Pat CONROYLaborEmma KINGLiberal24,8805Majority at count 5
2022Pat CONROYLaborNell McGILLLiberal11,6716Majority at count 6
2019Pat CONROYLaborNell McGILLLiberal8,8945Majority at count 5

2025 Federal election

Pat CONROY (Labor) won Shortland in 2025 with 66,494 of the 108,108 votes in the final count, beating Emma KING (Liberal) by 24,880 votes (61.5% to 38.5%). Conroy led on first preferences with 44.6% of 108,108 formal votes and passed the 54,055-vote majority at count 5.

108,108 formal votes7 candidates5 counts24,880-vote final margin

Shortland 2025: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Shortland at the 2025 Federal election. Pat CONROY was elected after 5 counts, 66,494 votes to 41,614 for Emma KING. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Pat CONROY: 48,222 votes stay with themEmma KING: 28,331 votes stay with themTherese DOYLE: 12,257 votes stay with themBarry REED: 9,813 votes stay with themJames PHEILS: 4,805 votes stay with themPietro DI GIROLAMO: 2,958 votes stay with them762 votes from Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (excluded) go to James PHEILS349 votes from Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (excluded) go to Barry REED193 votes from Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (excluded) go to Pietro DI GIROLAMO187 votes from Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (excluded) go to Emma KING182 votes from Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (excluded) go to Pat CONROY49 votes from Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (excluded) go to Therese DOYLEPat CONROY: 48,404 votes stay with themEmma KING: 28,518 votes stay with themTherese DOYLE: 12,306 votes stay with themBarry REED: 10,162 votes stay with themJames PHEILS: 5,567 votes stay with them1,504 votes from Pietro DI GIROLAMO (excluded) go to Barry REED540 votes from Pietro DI GIROLAMO (excluded) go to James PHEILS510 votes from Pietro DI GIROLAMO (excluded) go to Emma KING303 votes from Pietro DI GIROLAMO (excluded) go to Therese DOYLE294 votes from Pietro DI GIROLAMO (excluded) go to Pat CONROYPat CONROY: 48,698 votes stay with themEmma KING: 29,028 votes stay with themTherese DOYLE: 12,609 votes stay with themBarry REED: 11,666 votes stay with them2,200 votes from James PHEILS (excluded) go to Pat CONROY1,526 votes from James PHEILS (excluded) go to Barry REED1,501 votes from James PHEILS (excluded) go to Therese DOYLE880 votes from James PHEILS (excluded) go to Emma KINGPat CONROY: 50,898 votes stay with themEmma KING: 29,908 votes stay with themTherese DOYLE: 14,110 votes stay with them8,126 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Emma KING2,902 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Pat CONROY2,164 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Therese DOYLEPat CONROY: 53,800 votes stay with themEmma KING: 38,034 votes stay with them12,694 votes from Therese DOYLE (excluded) go to Pat CONROY3,580 votes from Therese DOYLE (excluded) go to Emma KINGPat CONROY (ALP): 48,222 votes at first preferencesCONROYEmma KING (LP): 28,331 votes at first preferencesKINGTherese DOYLE (GRN): 12,257 votes at first preferencesDOYLEBarry REED (ON): 9,813 votes at first preferencesREEDJames PHEILS (IND): 4,805 votes at first preferencesPHEILSPietro DI GIROLAMO (FFPA): 2,958 votes at first preferencesGeoffrey Mark ROBERTSON (LTP): 1,722 votes at first preferencesPat CONROY (ALP): 48,404 votes at count 1CONROYEmma KING (LP): 28,518 votes at count 1KINGTherese DOYLE (GRN): 12,306 votes at count 1DOYLEBarry REED (ON): 10,162 votes at count 1REEDJames PHEILS (IND): 5,567 votes at count 1PHEILSPietro DI GIROLAMO (FFPA): 3,151 votes at count 1Pat CONROY (ALP): 48,698 votes at count 2CONROYEmma KING (LP): 29,028 votes at count 2KINGTherese DOYLE (GRN): 12,609 votes at count 2DOYLEBarry REED (ON): 11,666 votes at count 2REEDJames PHEILS (IND): 6,107 votes at count 2PHEILSPat CONROY (ALP): 50,898 votes at count 3CONROYEmma KING (LP): 29,908 votes at count 3KINGTherese DOYLE (GRN): 14,110 votes at count 3DOYLEBarry REED (ON): 13,192 votes at count 3REEDPat CONROY (ALP): 53,800 votes at count 4CONROYEmma KING (LP): 38,034 votes at count 4KINGTherese DOYLE (GRN): 16,274 votes at count 4DOYLEPat CONROY (ALP): 66,494 votes at count 5CONROY · electedEmma KING (LP): 41,614 votes at count 5KING · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Shortland 2025: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSONLibertarian1,722
  • James PHEILS (IND): 762 (44.3%)
  • Barry REED (ON): 349 (20.3%)
  • Pietro DI GIROLAMO (FFPA): 193 (11.2%)
  • Emma KING (LP): 187 (10.9%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 182 (10.6%)
  • Therese DOYLE (GRN): 49 (2.8%)
2Pietro DI GIROLAMOFamily First3,151
  • Barry REED (ON): 1,504 (47.7%)
  • James PHEILS (IND): 540 (17.1%)
  • Emma KING (LP): 510 (16.2%)
  • Therese DOYLE (GRN): 303 (9.6%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 294 (9.3%)
3James PHEILSIndependent6,107
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 2,200 (36.0%)
  • Barry REED (ON): 1,526 (25.0%)
  • Therese DOYLE (GRN): 1,501 (24.6%)
  • Emma KING (LP): 880 (14.4%)
4Barry REEDPauline Hanson's One Nation13,192
  • Emma KING (LP): 8,126 (61.6%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 2,902 (22.0%)
  • Therese DOYLE (GRN): 2,164 (16.4%)
5Therese DOYLEThe Greens16,274
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 12,694 (78.0%)
  • Emma KING (LP): 3,580 (22.0%)

Votes after every count

Shortland 2025: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5
Pat CONROYLabor · elected48,22248,40448,69850,89853,80066,494
Emma KINGLiberal28,33128,51829,02829,90838,03441,614
Therese DOYLEThe Greens12,25712,30612,60914,11016,274–
Barry REEDPauline Hanson's One Nation9,81310,16211,66613,192––
James PHEILSIndependent4,8055,5676,107–––
Pietro DI GIROLAMOFamily First2,9583,151––––
Geoffrey Mark ROBERTSONLibertarian1,722–––––

2022 Federal election

Pat CONROY (Labor) won Shortland in 2022 with 55,985 of the 100,299 votes in the final count, beating Nell McGILL (Liberal) by 11,671 votes (55.8% to 44.2%). Conroy led on first preferences with 40.0% of 100,299 formal votes and passed the 50,150-vote majority at count 6.

100,299 formal votes8 candidates6 counts11,671-vote final margin

Shortland 2022: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Shortland at the 2022 Federal election. Pat CONROY was elected after 6 counts, 55,985 votes to 44,314 for Nell McGILL. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Pat CONROY: 40,135 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 32,215 votes stay with themKim GRIERSON: 9,910 votes stay with themQuintin KING: 6,397 votes stay with themKenneth John MAXWELL: 3,125 votes stay with themBarry REED: 2,984 votes stay with themBree Suzanne ROBERTS: 2,979 votes stay with them501 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Pat CONROY496 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Bree Suzanne ROBERTS410 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Kim GRIERSON325 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Nell McGILL324 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Barry REED311 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Quintin KING187 votes from Basil PAYNTER (excluded) go to Kenneth John MAXWELLPat CONROY: 40,636 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 32,540 votes stay with themKim GRIERSON: 10,320 votes stay with themQuintin KING: 6,708 votes stay with themKenneth John MAXWELL: 3,312 votes stay with them1,444 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Nell McGILL696 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Kenneth John MAXWELL442 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Quintin KING313 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Pat CONROY270 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Bree Suzanne ROBERTS143 votes from Barry REED (excluded) go to Kim GRIERSONBree Suzanne ROBERTS: 3,475 votes stay with themPat CONROY: 40,949 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 33,984 votes stay with themKim GRIERSON: 10,463 votes stay with themQuintin KING: 7,150 votes stay with themKenneth John MAXWELL: 4,008 votes stay with them1,054 votes from Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (excluded) go to Kim GRIERSON1,032 votes from Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (excluded) go to Nell McGILL783 votes from Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (excluded) go to Pat CONROY473 votes from Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (excluded) go to Quintin KING403 votes from Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (excluded) go to Kenneth John MAXWELLPat CONROY: 41,732 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 35,016 votes stay with themKim GRIERSON: 11,517 votes stay with themQuintin KING: 7,623 votes stay with them2,665 votes from Kenneth John MAXWELL (excluded) go to Quintin KING742 votes from Kenneth John MAXWELL (excluded) go to Nell McGILL526 votes from Kenneth John MAXWELL (excluded) go to Kim GRIERSON478 votes from Kenneth John MAXWELL (excluded) go to Pat CONROYPat CONROY: 42,210 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 35,758 votes stay with themKim GRIERSON: 12,043 votes stay with them5,281 votes from Quintin KING (excluded) go to Nell McGILL2,785 votes from Quintin KING (excluded) go to Kim GRIERSON2,222 votes from Quintin KING (excluded) go to Pat CONROYPat CONROY: 44,432 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 41,039 votes stay with them11,553 votes from Kim GRIERSON (excluded) go to Pat CONROY3,275 votes from Kim GRIERSON (excluded) go to Nell McGILLPat CONROY (ALP): 40,135 votes at first preferencesCONROYNell McGILL (LP): 32,215 votes at first preferencesMcGILLKim GRIERSON (GRN): 9,910 votes at first preferencesGRIERSONQuintin KING (ON): 6,397 votes at first preferencesKINGKenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 3,125 votes at first preferencesBarry REED (LDP): 2,984 votes at first preferencesBree Suzanne ROBERTS (AJP): 2,979 votes at first preferencesBasil PAYNTER (IND): 2,554 votes at first preferencesPat CONROY (ALP): 40,636 votes at count 1CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 32,540 votes at count 1McGILLKim GRIERSON (GRN): 10,320 votes at count 1GRIERSONQuintin KING (ON): 6,708 votes at count 1KINGKenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 3,312 votes at count 1Barry REED (LDP): 3,308 votes at count 1Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (AJP): 3,475 votes at count 1Pat CONROY (ALP): 40,949 votes at count 2CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 33,984 votes at count 2McGILLKim GRIERSON (GRN): 10,463 votes at count 2GRIERSONQuintin KING (ON): 7,150 votes at count 2KINGKenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 4,008 votes at count 2MAXWELLBree Suzanne ROBERTS (AJP): 3,745 votes at count 2Pat CONROY (ALP): 41,732 votes at count 3CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 35,016 votes at count 3McGILLKim GRIERSON (GRN): 11,517 votes at count 3GRIERSONQuintin KING (ON): 7,623 votes at count 3KINGKenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 4,411 votes at count 3MAXWELLPat CONROY (ALP): 42,210 votes at count 4CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 35,758 votes at count 4McGILLKim GRIERSON (GRN): 12,043 votes at count 4GRIERSONQuintin KING (ON): 10,288 votes at count 4KINGPat CONROY (ALP): 44,432 votes at count 5CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 41,039 votes at count 5McGILLKim GRIERSON (GRN): 14,828 votes at count 5GRIERSONPat CONROY (ALP): 55,985 votes at count 6CONROY · electedNell McGILL (LP): 44,314 votes at count 6McGILL · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Shortland 2022: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Basil PAYNTERIndependent2,554
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 501 (19.6%)
  • Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (AJP): 496 (19.4%)
  • Kim GRIERSON (GRN): 410 (16.1%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 325 (12.7%)
  • Barry REED (LDP): 324 (12.7%)
  • Quintin KING (ON): 311 (12.2%)
  • Kenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 187 (7.3%)
2Barry REEDLiberal Democrats3,308
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 1,444 (43.7%)
  • Kenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 696 (21.0%)
  • Quintin KING (ON): 442 (13.4%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 313 (9.5%)
  • Bree Suzanne ROBERTS (AJP): 270 (8.2%)
  • Kim GRIERSON (GRN): 143 (4.3%)
3Bree Suzanne ROBERTSAnimal Justice Party3,745
  • Kim GRIERSON (GRN): 1,054 (28.1%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 1,032 (27.6%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 783 (20.9%)
  • Quintin KING (ON): 473 (12.6%)
  • Kenneth John MAXWELL (UAPP): 403 (10.8%)
4Kenneth John MAXWELLUnited Australia Party4,411
  • Quintin KING (ON): 2,665 (60.4%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 742 (16.8%)
  • Kim GRIERSON (GRN): 526 (11.9%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 478 (10.8%)
5Quintin KINGPauline Hanson's One Nation10,288
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 5,281 (51.3%)
  • Kim GRIERSON (GRN): 2,785 (27.1%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 2,222 (21.6%)
6Kim GRIERSONThe Greens14,828
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 11,553 (77.9%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 3,275 (22.1%)

Votes after every count

Shortland 2022: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6
Pat CONROYLabor · elected40,13540,63640,94941,73242,21044,43255,985
Nell McGILLLiberal32,21532,54033,98435,01635,75841,03944,314
Kim GRIERSONThe Greens9,91010,32010,46311,51712,04314,828–
Quintin KINGPauline Hanson's One Nation6,3976,7087,1507,62310,288––
Kenneth John MAXWELLUnited Australia Party3,1253,3124,0084,411–––
Barry REEDLiberal Democrats2,9843,308–––––
Bree Suzanne ROBERTSAnimal Justice Party2,9793,4753,745––––
Basil PAYNTERIndependent2,554––––––

2019 Federal election

Pat CONROY (Labor) won Shortland in 2019 with 54,437 of the 99,980 votes in the final count, beating Nell McGILL (Liberal) by 8,894 votes (54.4% to 45.6%). Conroy led on first preferences with 41.1% of 99,980 formal votes and passed the 49,991-vote majority at count 5.

99,980 formal votes7 candidates5 counts8,894-vote final margin

Shortland 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Shortland at the 2019 Federal election. Pat CONROY was elected after 5 counts, 54,437 votes to 45,543 for Nell McGILL. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Pat CONROY: 41,126 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 37,363 votes stay with themWylie CAMPBELL: 8,256 votes stay with themDani RIFAI: 4,532 votes stay with themBryan McGRATH: 3,596 votes stay with themSusan NEWBURY: 3,097 votes stay with them1,119 votes from Xing YU (excluded) go to Nell McGILL253 votes from Xing YU (excluded) go to Susan NEWBURY232 votes from Xing YU (excluded) go to Pat CONROY231 votes from Xing YU (excluded) go to Dani RIFAI103 votes from Xing YU (excluded) go to Bryan McGRATH72 votes from Xing YU (excluded) go to Wylie CAMPBELLPat CONROY: 41,358 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 38,482 votes stay with themWylie CAMPBELL: 8,328 votes stay with themDani RIFAI: 4,763 votes stay with themBryan McGRATH: 3,699 votes stay with them1,094 votes from Susan NEWBURY (excluded) go to Pat CONROY689 votes from Susan NEWBURY (excluded) go to Bryan McGRATH575 votes from Susan NEWBURY (excluded) go to Wylie CAMPBELL545 votes from Susan NEWBURY (excluded) go to Dani RIFAI447 votes from Susan NEWBURY (excluded) go to Nell McGILLPat CONROY: 42,452 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 38,929 votes stay with themWylie CAMPBELL: 8,903 votes stay with themDani RIFAI: 5,308 votes stay with them1,832 votes from Bryan McGRATH (excluded) go to Wylie CAMPBELL922 votes from Bryan McGRATH (excluded) go to Pat CONROY839 votes from Bryan McGRATH (excluded) go to Dani RIFAI795 votes from Bryan McGRATH (excluded) go to Nell McGILLPat CONROY: 43,374 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 39,724 votes stay with themWylie CAMPBELL: 10,735 votes stay with them2,775 votes from Dani RIFAI (excluded) go to Nell McGILL1,867 votes from Dani RIFAI (excluded) go to Pat CONROY1,505 votes from Dani RIFAI (excluded) go to Wylie CAMPBELLPat CONROY: 45,241 votes stay with themNell McGILL: 42,499 votes stay with them9,196 votes from Wylie CAMPBELL (excluded) go to Pat CONROY3,044 votes from Wylie CAMPBELL (excluded) go to Nell McGILLPat CONROY (ALP): 41,126 votes at first preferencesCONROYNell McGILL (LP): 37,363 votes at first preferencesMcGILLWylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 8,256 votes at first preferencesCAMPBELLDani RIFAI (UAPP): 4,532 votes at first preferencesRIFAIBryan McGRATH (AJP): 3,596 votes at first preferencesSusan NEWBURY (SPP): 3,097 votes at first preferencesXing YU (CDP): 2,010 votes at first preferencesPat CONROY (ALP): 41,358 votes at count 1CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 38,482 votes at count 1McGILLWylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 8,328 votes at count 1CAMPBELLDani RIFAI (UAPP): 4,763 votes at count 1RIFAIBryan McGRATH (AJP): 3,699 votes at count 1Susan NEWBURY (SPP): 3,350 votes at count 1Pat CONROY (ALP): 42,452 votes at count 2CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 38,929 votes at count 2McGILLWylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 8,903 votes at count 2CAMPBELLDani RIFAI (UAPP): 5,308 votes at count 2RIFAIBryan McGRATH (AJP): 4,388 votes at count 2McGRATHPat CONROY (ALP): 43,374 votes at count 3CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 39,724 votes at count 3McGILLWylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 10,735 votes at count 3CAMPBELLDani RIFAI (UAPP): 6,147 votes at count 3RIFAIPat CONROY (ALP): 45,241 votes at count 4CONROYNell McGILL (LP): 42,499 votes at count 4McGILLWylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 12,240 votes at count 4CAMPBELLPat CONROY (ALP): 54,437 votes at count 5CONROY · electedNell McGILL (LP): 45,543 votes at count 5McGILL · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Shortland 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Xing YUChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)2,010
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 1,119 (55.7%)
  • Susan NEWBURY (SPP): 253 (12.6%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 232 (11.5%)
  • Dani RIFAI (UAPP): 231 (11.5%)
  • Bryan McGRATH (AJP): 103 (5.1%)
  • Wylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 72 (3.6%)
2Susan NEWBURYSustainable Australia3,350
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 1,094 (32.7%)
  • Bryan McGRATH (AJP): 689 (20.6%)
  • Wylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 575 (17.2%)
  • Dani RIFAI (UAPP): 545 (16.3%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 447 (13.3%)
3Bryan McGRATHAnimal Justice Party4,388
  • Wylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 1,832 (41.8%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 922 (21.0%)
  • Dani RIFAI (UAPP): 839 (19.1%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 795 (18.1%)
4Dani RIFAIUnited Australia Party6,147
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 2,775 (45.1%)
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 1,867 (30.4%)
  • Wylie CAMPBELL (GRN): 1,505 (24.5%)
5Wylie CAMPBELLThe Greens12,240
  • Pat CONROY (ALP): 9,196 (75.1%)
  • Nell McGILL (LP): 3,044 (24.9%)

Votes after every count

Shortland 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5
Pat CONROYLabor · elected41,12641,35842,45243,37445,24154,437
Nell McGILLLiberal37,36338,48238,92939,72442,49945,543
Wylie CAMPBELLThe Greens8,2568,3288,90310,73512,240–
Dani RIFAIUnited Australia Party4,5324,7635,3086,147––
Bryan McGRATHAnimal Justice Party3,5963,6994,388–––
Susan NEWBURYSustainable Australia3,0973,350––––
Xing YUChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)2,010–––––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

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