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Mitchell: preference flows

NSW · how preferences were distributed at the 2025, 2022, 2019 Federal elections

202520222019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2025Alex HAWKELiberalDilvan BIRCANLabor8,3453Majority at count 2
2022Alex HAWKELiberalImmanuel SELVARAJLabor23,1314First preferences
2019Alex HAWKELiberalImmanuel SELVARAJLabor36,7603First preferences

2025 Federal election

Alex HAWKE (Liberal) won Mitchell in 2025 with 58,949 of the 109,553 votes in the final count, beating Dilvan BIRCAN (Labor) by 8,345 votes (53.8% to 46.2%). Hawke led on first preferences with 46.3% of 109,553 formal votes and passed the 54,777-vote majority at count 2.

109,553 formal votes5 candidates3 counts8,345-vote final margin

Mitchell 2025: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Mitchell at the 2025 Federal election. Alex HAWKE was elected after 3 counts, 58,949 votes to 50,604 for Dilvan BIRCAN. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Alex HAWKE: 50,758 votes stay with themDilvan BIRCAN: 36,396 votes stay with themBen SPEECHLY: 15,044 votes stay with themBrendan McCREANOR: 4,680 votes stay with them1,359 votes from Mark CROCKER (excluded) go to Brendan McCREANOR683 votes from Mark CROCKER (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE362 votes from Mark CROCKER (excluded) go to Dilvan BIRCAN271 votes from Mark CROCKER (excluded) go to Ben SPEECHLYAlex HAWKE: 51,441 votes stay with themDilvan BIRCAN: 36,758 votes stay with themBen SPEECHLY: 15,315 votes stay with them4,174 votes from Brendan McCREANOR (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE1,051 votes from Brendan McCREANOR (excluded) go to Dilvan BIRCAN814 votes from Brendan McCREANOR (excluded) go to Ben SPEECHLYAlex HAWKE: 55,615 votes stay with themDilvan BIRCAN: 37,809 votes stay with them12,795 votes from Ben SPEECHLY (excluded) go to Dilvan BIRCAN3,334 votes from Ben SPEECHLY (excluded) go to Alex HAWKEAlex HAWKE (LP): 50,758 votes at first preferencesHAWKEDilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 36,396 votes at first preferencesBIRCANBen SPEECHLY (GRN): 15,044 votes at first preferencesSPEECHLYBrendan McCREANOR (ON): 4,680 votes at first preferencesMcCREANORMark CROCKER (CYA): 2,675 votes at first preferencesAlex HAWKE (LP): 51,441 votes at count 1HAWKEDilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 36,758 votes at count 1BIRCANBen SPEECHLY (GRN): 15,315 votes at count 1SPEECHLYBrendan McCREANOR (ON): 6,039 votes at count 1McCREANORAlex HAWKE (LP): 55,615 votes at count 2HAWKEDilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 37,809 votes at count 2BIRCANBen SPEECHLY (GRN): 16,129 votes at count 2SPEECHLYAlex HAWKE (LP): 58,949 votes at count 3HAWKE · electedDilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 50,604 votes at count 3BIRCAN · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Mitchell 2025: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Mark CROCKERTrumpet of Patriots2,675
  • Brendan McCREANOR (ON): 1,359 (50.8%)
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 683 (25.5%)
  • Dilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 362 (13.5%)
  • Ben SPEECHLY (GRN): 271 (10.1%)
2Brendan McCREANORPauline Hanson's One Nation6,039
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 4,174 (69.1%)
  • Dilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 1,051 (17.4%)
  • Ben SPEECHLY (GRN): 814 (13.5%)
3Ben SPEECHLYThe Greens16,129
  • Dilvan BIRCAN (ALP): 12,795 (79.3%)
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 3,334 (20.7%)

Votes after every count

Mitchell 2025: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3
Alex HAWKELiberal · elected50,75851,44155,61558,949
Dilvan BIRCANLabor36,39636,75837,80950,604
Ben SPEECHLYThe Greens15,04415,31516,129–
Brendan McCREANORPauline Hanson's One Nation4,6806,039––
Mark CROCKERTrumpet of Patriots2,675–––

2022 Federal election

Alex HAWKE (Liberal) won Mitchell in 2022 with 65,662 of the 108,193 votes in the final count, beating Immanuel SELVARAJ (Labor) by 23,131 votes (60.7% to 39.3%). Hawke won on first preferences, with 52.6% of 108,193 formal votes (more than half: 54,097 needed).

108,193 formal votes6 candidates4 counts23,131-vote final margin

Mitchell 2022: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Mitchell at the 2022 Federal election. Alex HAWKE was elected after 4 counts, 65,662 votes to 42,531 for Immanuel SELVARAJ. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Alex HAWKE: 56,918 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 27,597 votes stay with themMatt COX: 12,796 votes stay with themLinda DANIEL: 3,916 votes stay with themClinton MEAD: 3,708 votes stay with them1,393 votes from Donald McKENZIE (excluded) go to Linda DANIEL716 votes from Donald McKENZIE (excluded) go to Clinton MEAD693 votes from Donald McKENZIE (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE234 votes from Donald McKENZIE (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJ222 votes from Donald McKENZIE (excluded) go to Matt COXAlex HAWKE: 57,611 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 27,831 votes stay with themMatt COX: 13,018 votes stay with themLinda DANIEL: 5,309 votes stay with them1,741 votes from Clinton MEAD (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE1,694 votes from Clinton MEAD (excluded) go to Linda DANIEL530 votes from Clinton MEAD (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJ459 votes from Clinton MEAD (excluded) go to Matt COXAlex HAWKE: 59,352 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 28,361 votes stay with themMatt COX: 13,477 votes stay with them3,141 votes from Linda DANIEL (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE2,065 votes from Linda DANIEL (excluded) go to Matt COX1,797 votes from Linda DANIEL (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJAlex HAWKE: 62,493 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 30,158 votes stay with them12,373 votes from Matt COX (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJ3,169 votes from Matt COX (excluded) go to Alex HAWKEAlex HAWKE (LP): 56,918 votes at first preferencesHAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 27,597 votes at first preferencesSELVARAJMatt COX (GRN): 12,796 votes at first preferencesCOXLinda DANIEL (UAPP): 3,916 votes at first preferencesClinton MEAD (LDP): 3,708 votes at first preferencesDonald McKENZIE (ON): 3,258 votes at first preferencesAlex HAWKE (LP): 57,611 votes at count 1HAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 27,831 votes at count 1SELVARAJMatt COX (GRN): 13,018 votes at count 1COXLinda DANIEL (UAPP): 5,309 votes at count 1DANIELClinton MEAD (LDP): 4,424 votes at count 1MEADAlex HAWKE (LP): 59,352 votes at count 2HAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 28,361 votes at count 2SELVARAJMatt COX (GRN): 13,477 votes at count 2COXLinda DANIEL (UAPP): 7,003 votes at count 2DANIELAlex HAWKE (LP): 62,493 votes at count 3HAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 30,158 votes at count 3SELVARAJMatt COX (GRN): 15,542 votes at count 3COXAlex HAWKE (LP): 65,662 votes at count 4HAWKE · electedImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 42,531 votes at count 4SELVARAJ · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Mitchell 2022: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Donald McKENZIEPauline Hanson's One Nation3,258
  • Linda DANIEL (UAPP): 1,393 (42.8%)
  • Clinton MEAD (LDP): 716 (22.0%)
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 693 (21.3%)
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 234 (7.2%)
  • Matt COX (GRN): 222 (6.8%)
2Clinton MEADLiberal Democrats4,424
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 1,741 (39.4%)
  • Linda DANIEL (UAPP): 1,694 (38.3%)
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 530 (12.0%)
  • Matt COX (GRN): 459 (10.4%)
3Linda DANIELUnited Australia Party7,003
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 3,141 (44.9%)
  • Matt COX (GRN): 2,065 (29.5%)
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 1,797 (25.7%)
4Matt COXThe Greens15,542
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 12,373 (79.6%)
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 3,169 (20.4%)

Votes after every count

Mitchell 2022: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4
Alex HAWKELiberal · elected56,91857,61159,35262,49365,662
Immanuel SELVARAJLabor27,59727,83128,36130,15842,531
Matt COXThe Greens12,79613,01813,47715,542–
Linda DANIELUnited Australia Party3,9165,3097,003––
Clinton MEADLiberal Democrats3,7084,424–––
Donald McKENZIEPauline Hanson's One Nation3,258––––

2019 Federal election

Alex HAWKE (Liberal) won Mitchell in 2019 with 67,698 of the 98,636 votes in the final count, beating Immanuel SELVARAJ (Labor) by 36,760 votes (68.6% to 31.4%). Hawke won on first preferences, with 62.0% of 98,636 formal votes (more than half: 49,319 needed).

98,636 formal votes5 candidates3 counts36,760-vote final margin

Mitchell 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Mitchell at the 2019 Federal election. Alex HAWKE was elected after 3 counts, 67,698 votes to 30,938 for Immanuel SELVARAJ. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Alex HAWKE: 61,202 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 23,618 votes stay with themLawrence MURPHY: 7,955 votes stay with themCraig L HALL: 3,156 votes stay with them1,345 votes from Roy Peter HOPPENBROUWER (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE639 votes from Roy Peter HOPPENBROUWER (excluded) go to Craig L HALL388 votes from Roy Peter HOPPENBROUWER (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJ333 votes from Roy Peter HOPPENBROUWER (excluded) go to Lawrence MURPHYAlex HAWKE: 62,547 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 24,006 votes stay with themLawrence MURPHY: 8,288 votes stay with them2,833 votes from Craig L HALL (excluded) go to Alex HAWKE500 votes from Craig L HALL (excluded) go to Lawrence MURPHY462 votes from Craig L HALL (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJAlex HAWKE: 65,380 votes stay with themImmanuel SELVARAJ: 24,468 votes stay with them6,470 votes from Lawrence MURPHY (excluded) go to Immanuel SELVARAJ2,318 votes from Lawrence MURPHY (excluded) go to Alex HAWKEAlex HAWKE (LP): 61,202 votes at first preferencesHAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 23,618 votes at first preferencesSELVARAJLawrence MURPHY (GRN): 7,955 votes at first preferencesMURPHYCraig L HALL (CDP): 3,156 votes at first preferencesRoy Peter HOPPENBROUWER (UAPP): 2,705 votes at first preferencesAlex HAWKE (LP): 62,547 votes at count 1HAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 24,006 votes at count 1SELVARAJLawrence MURPHY (GRN): 8,288 votes at count 1MURPHYCraig L HALL (CDP): 3,795 votes at count 1HALLAlex HAWKE (LP): 65,380 votes at count 2HAWKEImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 24,468 votes at count 2SELVARAJLawrence MURPHY (GRN): 8,788 votes at count 2MURPHYAlex HAWKE (LP): 67,698 votes at count 3HAWKE · electedImmanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 30,938 votes at count 3SELVARAJ · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Mitchell 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Roy Peter HOPPENBROUWERUnited Australia Party2,705
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 1,345 (49.7%)
  • Craig L HALL (CDP): 639 (23.6%)
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 388 (14.3%)
  • Lawrence MURPHY (GRN): 333 (12.3%)
2Craig L HALLChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)3,795
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 2,833 (74.7%)
  • Lawrence MURPHY (GRN): 500 (13.2%)
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 462 (12.2%)
3Lawrence MURPHYThe Greens8,788
  • Immanuel SELVARAJ (ALP): 6,470 (73.6%)
  • Alex HAWKE (LP): 2,318 (26.4%)

Votes after every count

Mitchell 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3
Alex HAWKELiberal · elected61,20262,54765,38067,698
Immanuel SELVARAJLabor23,61824,00624,46830,938
Lawrence MURPHYThe Greens7,9558,2888,788–
Craig L HALLChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)3,1563,795––
Roy Peter HOPPENBROUWERUnited Australia Party2,705–––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.