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Jagajaga: preference flows

VIC · how preferences were distributed at the 2025, 2022, 2019 Federal elections

202520222019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2025Kate THWAITESAustralian Labor PartyChris PARRLiberal28,6175Majority at count 5
2022Kate THWAITESAustralian Labor PartySahil TOMARLiberal25,0016Majority at count 6
2019Kate THWAITESAustralian Labor PartyRichard WELCHLiberal12,8413Majority at count 3

2025 Federal election

Kate THWAITES (Australian Labor Party) won Jagajaga in 2025 with 69,858 of the 111,099 votes in the final count, beating Chris PARR (Liberal) by 28,617 votes (62.9% to 37.1%). Thwaites led on first preferences with 42.6% of 111,099 formal votes and passed the 55,550-vote majority at count 5.

111,099 formal votes7 candidates5 counts28,617-vote final margin

Jagajaga 2025: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Jagajaga at the 2025 Federal election. Kate THWAITES was elected after 5 counts, 69,858 votes to 41,241 for Chris PARR. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Kate THWAITES: 47,284 votes stay with themChris PARR: 32,724 votes stay with themJy SANDFORD: 17,334 votes stay with themChris KEARNEY: 5,167 votes stay with themLeslie RALPH: 4,297 votes stay with themRae RANCIE: 2,775 votes stay with them438 votes from Abdi MOHAMED (excluded) go to Rae RANCIE358 votes from Abdi MOHAMED (excluded) go to Chris KEARNEY244 votes from Abdi MOHAMED (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES224 votes from Abdi MOHAMED (excluded) go to Chris PARR203 votes from Abdi MOHAMED (excluded) go to Jy SANDFORD51 votes from Abdi MOHAMED (excluded) go to Leslie RALPHKate THWAITES: 47,528 votes stay with themChris PARR: 32,948 votes stay with themJy SANDFORD: 17,537 votes stay with themChris KEARNEY: 5,525 votes stay with themLeslie RALPH: 4,348 votes stay with them1,177 votes from Rae RANCIE (excluded) go to Chris PARR1,031 votes from Rae RANCIE (excluded) go to Leslie RALPH442 votes from Rae RANCIE (excluded) go to Chris KEARNEY282 votes from Rae RANCIE (excluded) go to Jy SANDFORD281 votes from Rae RANCIE (excluded) go to Kate THWAITESKate THWAITES: 47,809 votes stay with themChris PARR: 34,125 votes stay with themJy SANDFORD: 17,819 votes stay with themChris KEARNEY: 5,967 votes stay with them3,003 votes from Leslie RALPH (excluded) go to Chris PARR1,464 votes from Leslie RALPH (excluded) go to Chris KEARNEY643 votes from Leslie RALPH (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES269 votes from Leslie RALPH (excluded) go to Jy SANDFORDKate THWAITES: 48,452 votes stay with themChris PARR: 37,128 votes stay with themJy SANDFORD: 18,088 votes stay with them2,995 votes from Chris KEARNEY (excluded) go to Jy SANDFORD2,382 votes from Chris KEARNEY (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES2,054 votes from Chris KEARNEY (excluded) go to Chris PARRKate THWAITES: 50,834 votes stay with themChris PARR: 39,182 votes stay with them19,024 votes from Jy SANDFORD (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES2,059 votes from Jy SANDFORD (excluded) go to Chris PARRKate THWAITES (ALP): 47,284 votes at first preferencesTHWAITESChris PARR (LP): 32,724 votes at first preferencesPARRJy SANDFORD (GVIC): 17,334 votes at first preferencesSANDFORDChris KEARNEY (IND): 5,167 votes at first preferencesKEARNEYLeslie RALPH (ON): 4,297 votes at first preferencesRALPHRae RANCIE (FFPA): 2,775 votes at first preferencesAbdi MOHAMED (IND): 1,518 votes at first preferencesKate THWAITES (ALP): 47,528 votes at count 1THWAITESChris PARR (LP): 32,948 votes at count 1PARRJy SANDFORD (GVIC): 17,537 votes at count 1SANDFORDChris KEARNEY (IND): 5,525 votes at count 1KEARNEYLeslie RALPH (ON): 4,348 votes at count 1RALPHRae RANCIE (FFPA): 3,213 votes at count 1Kate THWAITES (ALP): 47,809 votes at count 2THWAITESChris PARR (LP): 34,125 votes at count 2PARRJy SANDFORD (GVIC): 17,819 votes at count 2SANDFORDChris KEARNEY (IND): 5,967 votes at count 2KEARNEYLeslie RALPH (ON): 5,379 votes at count 2RALPHKate THWAITES (ALP): 48,452 votes at count 3THWAITESChris PARR (LP): 37,128 votes at count 3PARRJy SANDFORD (GVIC): 18,088 votes at count 3SANDFORDChris KEARNEY (IND): 7,431 votes at count 3KEARNEYKate THWAITES (ALP): 50,834 votes at count 4THWAITESChris PARR (LP): 39,182 votes at count 4PARRJy SANDFORD (GVIC): 21,083 votes at count 4SANDFORDKate THWAITES (ALP): 69,858 votes at count 5THWAITES · electedChris PARR (LP): 41,241 votes at count 5PARR · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Jagajaga 2025: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Abdi MOHAMEDIndependent1,518
  • Rae RANCIE (FFPA): 438 (28.9%)
  • Chris KEARNEY (IND): 358 (23.6%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 244 (16.1%)
  • Chris PARR (LP): 224 (14.8%)
  • Jy SANDFORD (GVIC): 203 (13.4%)
  • Leslie RALPH (ON): 51 (3.4%)
2Rae RANCIEFamily First3,213
  • Chris PARR (LP): 1,177 (36.6%)
  • Leslie RALPH (ON): 1,031 (32.1%)
  • Chris KEARNEY (IND): 442 (13.8%)
  • Jy SANDFORD (GVIC): 282 (8.8%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 281 (8.7%)
3Leslie RALPHPauline Hanson's One Nation5,379
  • Chris PARR (LP): 3,003 (55.8%)
  • Chris KEARNEY (IND): 1,464 (27.2%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 643 (12.0%)
  • Jy SANDFORD (GVIC): 269 (5.0%)
4Chris KEARNEYIndependent7,431
  • Jy SANDFORD (GVIC): 2,995 (40.3%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 2,382 (32.1%)
  • Chris PARR (LP): 2,054 (27.6%)
5Jy SANDFORDThe Greens21,083
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 19,024 (90.2%)
  • Chris PARR (LP): 2,059 (9.8%)

Votes after every count

Jagajaga 2025: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5
Kate THWAITESAustralian Labor Party · elected47,28447,52847,80948,45250,83469,858
Chris PARRLiberal32,72432,94834,12537,12839,18241,241
Jy SANDFORDThe Greens17,33417,53717,81918,08821,083–
Chris KEARNEYIndependent5,1675,5255,9677,431––
Leslie RALPHPauline Hanson's One Nation4,2974,3485,379–––
Rae RANCIEFamily First2,7753,213––––
Abdi MOHAMEDIndependent1,518–––––

2022 Federal election

Kate THWAITES (Australian Labor Party) won Jagajaga in 2022 with 63,122 of the 101,243 votes in the final count, beating Sahil TOMAR (Liberal) by 25,001 votes (62.3% to 37.7%). Thwaites led on first preferences with 40.9% of 101,243 formal votes and passed the 50,622-vote majority at count 6.

101,243 formal votes8 candidates6 counts25,001-vote final margin

Jagajaga 2022: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Jagajaga at the 2022 Federal election. Kate THWAITES was elected after 6 counts, 63,122 votes to 38,121 for Sahil TOMAR. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Kate THWAITES: 41,412 votes stay with themSahil TOMAR: 29,535 votes stay with themLiz CHASE: 16,855 votes stay with themMaya TESA: 3,760 votes stay with themAllison ZELINKA: 3,493 votes stay with themZahra MUSTAF: 3,150 votes stay with themJohn BOOKER: 2,274 votes stay with them137 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to Maya TESA132 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to Allison ZELINKA129 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES124 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to Zahra MUSTAF103 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to John BOOKER75 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to Sahil TOMAR64 votes from Brendan PALMARINI (excluded) go to Liz CHASEKate THWAITES: 41,541 votes stay with themSahil TOMAR: 29,610 votes stay with themLiz CHASE: 16,919 votes stay with themMaya TESA: 3,897 votes stay with themAllison ZELINKA: 3,625 votes stay with themZahra MUSTAF: 3,274 votes stay with them1,030 votes from John BOOKER (excluded) go to Allison ZELINKA468 votes from John BOOKER (excluded) go to Maya TESA314 votes from John BOOKER (excluded) go to Sahil TOMAR234 votes from John BOOKER (excluded) go to Zahra MUSTAF194 votes from John BOOKER (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES137 votes from John BOOKER (excluded) go to Liz CHASEKate THWAITES: 41,735 votes stay with themSahil TOMAR: 29,924 votes stay with themLiz CHASE: 17,056 votes stay with themMaya TESA: 4,365 votes stay with themAllison ZELINKA: 4,655 votes stay with them1,295 votes from Zahra MUSTAF (excluded) go to Liz CHASE945 votes from Zahra MUSTAF (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES498 votes from Zahra MUSTAF (excluded) go to Allison ZELINKA395 votes from Zahra MUSTAF (excluded) go to Maya TESA375 votes from Zahra MUSTAF (excluded) go to Sahil TOMARKate THWAITES: 42,680 votes stay with themSahil TOMAR: 30,299 votes stay with themLiz CHASE: 18,351 votes stay with them2,630 votes from Maya TESA (excluded) go to Allison ZELINKA1,326 votes from Maya TESA (excluded) go to Sahil TOMAR422 votes from Maya TESA (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES382 votes from Maya TESA (excluded) go to Liz CHASEAllison ZELINKA: 5,153 votes stay with themKate THWAITES: 43,102 votes stay with themSahil TOMAR: 31,625 votes stay with themLiz CHASE: 18,733 votes stay with them3,964 votes from Allison ZELINKA (excluded) go to Sahil TOMAR2,270 votes from Allison ZELINKA (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES1,549 votes from Allison ZELINKA (excluded) go to Liz CHASEKate THWAITES: 45,372 votes stay with themSahil TOMAR: 35,589 votes stay with them17,750 votes from Liz CHASE (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES2,532 votes from Liz CHASE (excluded) go to Sahil TOMARKate THWAITES (ALP): 41,412 votes at first preferencesTHWAITESSahil TOMAR (LP): 29,535 votes at first preferencesTOMARLiz CHASE (GVIC): 16,855 votes at first preferencesCHASEMaya TESA (LDP): 3,760 votes at first preferencesAllison ZELINKA (UAPP): 3,493 votes at first preferencesZahra MUSTAF (IND): 3,150 votes at first preferencesJohn BOOKER (ON): 2,274 votes at first preferencesBrendan PALMARINI (CYA): 764 votes at first preferencesKate THWAITES (ALP): 41,541 votes at count 1THWAITESSahil TOMAR (LP): 29,610 votes at count 1TOMARLiz CHASE (GVIC): 16,919 votes at count 1CHASEMaya TESA (LDP): 3,897 votes at count 1Allison ZELINKA (UAPP): 3,625 votes at count 1Zahra MUSTAF (IND): 3,274 votes at count 1John BOOKER (ON): 2,377 votes at count 1Kate THWAITES (ALP): 41,735 votes at count 2THWAITESSahil TOMAR (LP): 29,924 votes at count 2TOMARLiz CHASE (GVIC): 17,056 votes at count 2CHASEMaya TESA (LDP): 4,365 votes at count 2TESAAllison ZELINKA (UAPP): 4,655 votes at count 2ZELINKAZahra MUSTAF (IND): 3,508 votes at count 2Kate THWAITES (ALP): 42,680 votes at count 3THWAITESSahil TOMAR (LP): 30,299 votes at count 3TOMARLiz CHASE (GVIC): 18,351 votes at count 3CHASEMaya TESA (LDP): 4,760 votes at count 3TESAAllison ZELINKA (UAPP): 5,153 votes at count 3ZELINKAKate THWAITES (ALP): 43,102 votes at count 4THWAITESSahil TOMAR (LP): 31,625 votes at count 4TOMARLiz CHASE (GVIC): 18,733 votes at count 4CHASEAllison ZELINKA (UAPP): 7,783 votes at count 4ZELINKAKate THWAITES (ALP): 45,372 votes at count 5THWAITESSahil TOMAR (LP): 35,589 votes at count 5TOMARLiz CHASE (GVIC): 20,282 votes at count 5CHASEKate THWAITES (ALP): 63,122 votes at count 6THWAITES · electedSahil TOMAR (LP): 38,121 votes at count 6TOMAR · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Jagajaga 2022: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Brendan PALMARINIAustralian Federation Party764
  • Maya TESA (LDP): 137 (17.9%)
  • Allison ZELINKA (UAPP): 132 (17.3%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 129 (16.9%)
  • Zahra MUSTAF (IND): 124 (16.2%)
  • John BOOKER (ON): 103 (13.5%)
  • Sahil TOMAR (LP): 75 (9.8%)
  • Liz CHASE (GVIC): 64 (8.4%)
2John BOOKERPauline Hanson's One Nation2,377
  • Allison ZELINKA (UAPP): 1,030 (43.3%)
  • Maya TESA (LDP): 468 (19.7%)
  • Sahil TOMAR (LP): 314 (13.2%)
  • Zahra MUSTAF (IND): 234 (9.8%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 194 (8.2%)
  • Liz CHASE (GVIC): 137 (5.8%)
3Zahra MUSTAFIndependent3,508
  • Liz CHASE (GVIC): 1,295 (36.9%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 945 (26.9%)
  • Allison ZELINKA (UAPP): 498 (14.2%)
  • Maya TESA (LDP): 395 (11.3%)
  • Sahil TOMAR (LP): 375 (10.7%)
4Maya TESALiberal Democrats4,760
  • Allison ZELINKA (UAPP): 2,630 (55.3%)
  • Sahil TOMAR (LP): 1,326 (27.9%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 422 (8.9%)
  • Liz CHASE (GVIC): 382 (8.0%)
5Allison ZELINKAUnited Australia Party7,783
  • Sahil TOMAR (LP): 3,964 (50.9%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 2,270 (29.2%)
  • Liz CHASE (GVIC): 1,549 (19.9%)
6Liz CHASEThe Greens20,282
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 17,750 (87.5%)
  • Sahil TOMAR (LP): 2,532 (12.5%)

Votes after every count

Jagajaga 2022: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6
Kate THWAITESAustralian Labor Party · elected41,41241,54141,73542,68043,10245,37263,122
Sahil TOMARLiberal29,53529,61029,92430,29931,62535,58938,121
Liz CHASEThe Greens16,85516,91917,05618,35118,73320,282–
Maya TESALiberal Democrats3,7603,8974,3654,760–––
Allison ZELINKAUnited Australia Party3,4933,6254,6555,1537,783––
Zahra MUSTAFIndependent3,1503,2743,508––––
John BOOKERPauline Hanson's One Nation2,2742,377–––––
Brendan PALMARINIAustralian Federation Party764––––––

2019 Federal election

Kate THWAITES (Australian Labor Party) won Jagajaga in 2019 with 55,304 of the 97,767 votes in the final count, beating Richard WELCH (Liberal) by 12,841 votes (56.6% to 43.4%). Thwaites led on first preferences with 42.0% of 97,767 formal votes and passed the 48,884-vote majority at count 3.

97,767 formal votes5 candidates3 counts12,841-vote final margin

Jagajaga 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Jagajaga at the 2019 Federal election. Kate THWAITES was elected after 3 counts, 55,304 votes to 42,463 for Richard WELCH. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Kate THWAITES: 41,086 votes stay with themRichard WELCH: 37,755 votes stay with themPaul KENNEDY: 13,929 votes stay with themMaria Marcia RIGONI: 3,652 votes stay with them567 votes from Jeff TRUSCOTT (excluded) go to Maria Marcia RIGONI372 votes from Jeff TRUSCOTT (excluded) go to Richard WELCH246 votes from Jeff TRUSCOTT (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES160 votes from Jeff TRUSCOTT (excluded) go to Paul KENNEDYKate THWAITES: 41,332 votes stay with themRichard WELCH: 38,127 votes stay with themPaul KENNEDY: 14,089 votes stay with them2,194 votes from Maria Marcia RIGONI (excluded) go to Richard WELCH1,290 votes from Maria Marcia RIGONI (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES735 votes from Maria Marcia RIGONI (excluded) go to Paul KENNEDYKate THWAITES: 42,622 votes stay with themRichard WELCH: 40,321 votes stay with them12,682 votes from Paul KENNEDY (excluded) go to Kate THWAITES2,142 votes from Paul KENNEDY (excluded) go to Richard WELCHKate THWAITES (ALP): 41,086 votes at first preferencesTHWAITESRichard WELCH (LP): 37,755 votes at first preferencesWELCHPaul KENNEDY (GVIC): 13,929 votes at first preferencesKENNEDYMaria Marcia RIGONI (UAPP): 3,652 votes at first preferencesRIGONIJeff TRUSCOTT (RUA): 1,345 votes at first preferencesKate THWAITES (ALP): 41,332 votes at count 1THWAITESRichard WELCH (LP): 38,127 votes at count 1WELCHPaul KENNEDY (GVIC): 14,089 votes at count 1KENNEDYMaria Marcia RIGONI (UAPP): 4,219 votes at count 1RIGONIKate THWAITES (ALP): 42,622 votes at count 2THWAITESRichard WELCH (LP): 40,321 votes at count 2WELCHPaul KENNEDY (GVIC): 14,824 votes at count 2KENNEDYKate THWAITES (ALP): 55,304 votes at count 3THWAITES · electedRichard WELCH (LP): 42,463 votes at count 3WELCH · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Jagajaga 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Jeff TRUSCOTTRise Up Australia Party1,345
  • Maria Marcia RIGONI (UAPP): 567 (42.2%)
  • Richard WELCH (LP): 372 (27.7%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 246 (18.3%)
  • Paul KENNEDY (GVIC): 160 (11.9%)
2Maria Marcia RIGONIUnited Australia Party4,219
  • Richard WELCH (LP): 2,194 (52.0%)
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 1,290 (30.6%)
  • Paul KENNEDY (GVIC): 735 (17.4%)
3Paul KENNEDYThe Greens (VIC)14,824
  • Kate THWAITES (ALP): 12,682 (85.6%)
  • Richard WELCH (LP): 2,142 (14.4%)

Votes after every count

Jagajaga 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3
Kate THWAITESAustralian Labor Party · elected41,08641,33242,62255,304
Richard WELCHLiberal37,75538,12740,32142,463
Paul KENNEDYThe Greens (VIC)13,92914,08914,824–
Maria Marcia RIGONIUnited Australia Party3,6524,219––
Jeff TRUSCOTTRise Up Australia Party1,345–––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

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