Skip to content

Fairfax: preference flows

QLD · how preferences were distributed at the 2025, 2022, 2019 Federal elections

202520222019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2025Ted O'BRIENLNPNaomi McQUEENAustralian Labor Party7,1726Majority at count 6
2022Ted O'BRIENLiberal National Party of QueenslandSue FERGUSONAustralian Labor Party18,5578Majority at count 7
2019Ted O'BRIENLiberal National Party of QueenslandJulie McGLONEAustralian Labor Party26,2487Majority at count 2

2025 Federal election

Ted O'BRIEN (LNP) won Fairfax in 2025 with 59,110 of the 111,048 votes in the final count, beating Naomi McQUEEN (Australian Labor Party) by 7,172 votes (53.2% to 46.8%). O'Brien led on first preferences with 37.9% of 111,048 formal votes and passed the 55,525-vote majority at count 6.

111,048 formal votes8 candidates6 counts7,172-vote final margin

Fairfax 2025: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Fairfax at the 2025 Federal election. Ted O'BRIEN was elected after 6 counts, 59,110 votes to 51,938 for Naomi McQUEEN. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Ted O'BRIEN: 42,075 votes stay with themNaomi McQUEEN: 27,607 votes stay with themFrancine WIIG: 13,085 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 11,351 votes stay with themBeatrice MARSH: 8,232 votes stay with themRhys SANDERSON: 3,816 votes stay with themGregory RYZY: 3,063 votes stay with them718 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Francine WIIG258 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN199 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Beatrice MARSH175 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Rhys SANDERSON167 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Naomi McQUEEN159 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Gregory RYZY143 votes from Paul McKEOWN (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGETed O'BRIEN: 42,333 votes stay with themNaomi McQUEEN: 27,774 votes stay with themFrancine WIIG: 13,803 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 11,494 votes stay with themBeatrice MARSH: 8,431 votes stay with themRhys SANDERSON: 3,991 votes stay with them1,333 votes from Gregory RYZY (excluded) go to Beatrice MARSH620 votes from Gregory RYZY (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN508 votes from Gregory RYZY (excluded) go to Francine WIIG410 votes from Gregory RYZY (excluded) go to Rhys SANDERSON194 votes from Gregory RYZY (excluded) go to Naomi McQUEEN157 votes from Gregory RYZY (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGETed O'BRIEN: 42,953 votes stay with themNaomi McQUEEN: 27,968 votes stay with themFrancine WIIG: 14,311 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 11,651 votes stay with themBeatrice MARSH: 9,764 votes stay with them2,408 votes from Rhys SANDERSON (excluded) go to Beatrice MARSH810 votes from Rhys SANDERSON (excluded) go to Francine WIIG629 votes from Rhys SANDERSON (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN327 votes from Rhys SANDERSON (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE227 votes from Rhys SANDERSON (excluded) go to Naomi McQUEENTed O'BRIEN: 43,582 votes stay with themNaomi McQUEEN: 28,195 votes stay with themFrancine WIIG: 15,121 votes stay with them5,493 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Naomi McQUEEN5,039 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Francine WIIG813 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN633 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Beatrice MARSHBeatrice MARSH: 12,172 votes stay with themTed O'BRIEN: 44,395 votes stay with themNaomi McQUEEN: 33,688 votes stay with themFrancine WIIG: 20,160 votes stay with them5,950 votes from Beatrice MARSH (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN5,842 votes from Beatrice MARSH (excluded) go to Francine WIIG1,013 votes from Beatrice MARSH (excluded) go to Naomi McQUEENTed O'BRIEN: 50,345 votes stay with themNaomi McQUEEN: 34,701 votes stay with them17,237 votes from Francine WIIG (excluded) go to Naomi McQUEEN8,765 votes from Francine WIIG (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIENTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 42,075 votes at first preferencesO'BRIENNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 27,607 votes at first preferencesMcQUEENFrancine WIIG (IND): 13,085 votes at first preferencesWIIGSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 11,351 votes at first preferencesETHERIDGEBeatrice MARSH (ON): 8,232 votes at first preferencesMARSHRhys SANDERSON (FFPA): 3,816 votes at first preferencesGregory RYZY (CYA): 3,063 votes at first preferencesPaul McKEOWN (IND): 1,819 votes at first preferencesTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 42,333 votes at count 1O'BRIENNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 27,774 votes at count 1McQUEENFrancine WIIG (IND): 13,803 votes at count 1WIIGSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 11,494 votes at count 1ETHERIDGEBeatrice MARSH (ON): 8,431 votes at count 1MARSHRhys SANDERSON (FFPA): 3,991 votes at count 1Gregory RYZY (CYA): 3,222 votes at count 1Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 42,953 votes at count 2O'BRIENNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 27,968 votes at count 2McQUEENFrancine WIIG (IND): 14,311 votes at count 2WIIGSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 11,651 votes at count 2ETHERIDGEBeatrice MARSH (ON): 9,764 votes at count 2MARSHRhys SANDERSON (FFPA): 4,401 votes at count 2SANDERSONTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 43,582 votes at count 3O'BRIENNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 28,195 votes at count 3McQUEENFrancine WIIG (IND): 15,121 votes at count 3WIIGSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 11,978 votes at count 3ETHERIDGEBeatrice MARSH (ON): 12,172 votes at count 3MARSHTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 44,395 votes at count 4O'BRIENNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 33,688 votes at count 4McQUEENFrancine WIIG (IND): 20,160 votes at count 4WIIGBeatrice MARSH (ON): 12,805 votes at count 4MARSHTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 50,345 votes at count 5O'BRIENNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 34,701 votes at count 5McQUEENFrancine WIIG (IND): 26,002 votes at count 5WIIGTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 59,110 votes at count 6O'BRIEN · electedNaomi McQUEEN (ALP): 51,938 votes at count 6McQUEEN · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Fairfax 2025: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Paul McKEOWNIndependent1,819
  • Francine WIIG (IND): 718 (39.5%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 258 (14.2%)
  • Beatrice MARSH (ON): 199 (10.9%)
  • Rhys SANDERSON (FFPA): 175 (9.6%)
  • Naomi McQUEEN (ALP): 167 (9.2%)
  • Gregory RYZY (CYA): 159 (8.7%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 143 (7.9%)
2Gregory RYZYTrumpet of Patriots3,222
  • Beatrice MARSH (ON): 1,333 (41.4%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 620 (19.2%)
  • Francine WIIG (IND): 508 (15.8%)
  • Rhys SANDERSON (FFPA): 410 (12.7%)
  • Naomi McQUEEN (ALP): 194 (6.0%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 157 (4.9%)
3Rhys SANDERSONFamily First4,401
  • Beatrice MARSH (ON): 2,408 (54.7%)
  • Francine WIIG (IND): 810 (18.4%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 629 (14.3%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 327 (7.4%)
  • Naomi McQUEEN (ALP): 227 (5.2%)
4Sue ETHERIDGEThe Greens11,978
  • Naomi McQUEEN (ALP): 5,493 (45.9%)
  • Francine WIIG (IND): 5,039 (42.1%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 813 (6.8%)
  • Beatrice MARSH (ON): 633 (5.3%)
5Beatrice MARSHPauline Hanson's One Nation12,805
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 5,950 (46.5%)
  • Francine WIIG (IND): 5,842 (45.6%)
  • Naomi McQUEEN (ALP): 1,013 (7.9%)
6Francine WIIGIndependent26,002
  • Naomi McQUEEN (ALP): 17,237 (66.3%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 8,765 (33.7%)

Votes after every count

Fairfax 2025: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6
Ted O'BRIENLNP · elected42,07542,33342,95343,58244,39550,34559,110
Naomi McQUEENAustralian Labor Party27,60727,77427,96828,19533,68834,70151,938
Francine WIIGIndependent13,08513,80314,31115,12120,16026,002–
Sue ETHERIDGEThe Greens11,35111,49411,65111,978–––
Beatrice MARSHPauline Hanson's One Nation8,2328,4319,76412,17212,805––
Rhys SANDERSONFamily First3,8163,9914,401––––
Gregory RYZYTrumpet of Patriots3,0633,222–––––
Paul McKEOWNIndependent1,819––––––

2022 Federal election

Ted O'BRIEN (Liberal National Party of Queensland) won Fairfax in 2022 with 61,108 of the 103,659 votes in the final count, beating Sue FERGUSON (Australian Labor Party) by 18,557 votes (59.0% to 41.0%). O'Brien led on first preferences with 44.9% of 103,659 formal votes and passed the 51,830-vote majority at count 7.

103,659 formal votes10 candidates8 counts18,557-vote final margin

Fairfax 2022: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Fairfax at the 2022 Federal election. Ted O'BRIEN was elected after 8 counts, 61,108 votes to 42,551 for Sue FERGUSON. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Count 8Ted O'BRIEN: 46,551 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 22,662 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 13,862 votes stay with themNikki CIVITARESE: 6,798 votes stay with themLisa KHOURY: 6,132 votes stay with themTash POOLE: 2,182 votes stay with themWendy HAZELTON: 1,997 votes stay with themBarry SMITH: 1,423 votes stay with themCraig WHITE: 1,319 votes stay with them348 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Barry SMITH95 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE57 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSON54 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Nikki CIVITARESE45 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Tash POOLE40 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN38 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Lisa KHOURY32 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Craig WHITE24 votes from Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Wendy HAZELTONTed O'BRIEN: 46,591 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 22,719 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 13,957 votes stay with themNikki CIVITARESE: 6,852 votes stay with themLisa KHOURY: 6,170 votes stay with themTash POOLE: 2,227 votes stay with themWendy HAZELTON: 2,021 votes stay with themBarry SMITH: 1,771 votes stay with them443 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Wendy HAZELTON389 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Nikki CIVITARESE199 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Lisa KHOURY104 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Barry SMITH56 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN54 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE53 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Tash POOLE53 votes from Craig WHITE (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSONTed O'BRIEN: 46,647 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 22,772 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 14,011 votes stay with themNikki CIVITARESE: 7,241 votes stay with themLisa KHOURY: 6,369 votes stay with themTash POOLE: 2,280 votes stay with themWendy HAZELTON: 2,464 votes stay with them376 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Tash POOLE359 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Wendy HAZELTON289 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE276 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Nikki CIVITARESE204 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN191 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSON180 votes from Barry SMITH (excluded) go to Lisa KHOURYTed O'BRIEN: 46,851 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 22,963 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 14,300 votes stay with themNikki CIVITARESE: 7,517 votes stay with themLisa KHOURY: 6,549 votes stay with them964 votes from Tash POOLE (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE748 votes from Tash POOLE (excluded) go to Wendy HAZELTON285 votes from Tash POOLE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN261 votes from Tash POOLE (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSON226 votes from Tash POOLE (excluded) go to Nikki CIVITARESE172 votes from Tash POOLE (excluded) go to Lisa KHOURYWendy HAZELTON: 2,823 votes stay with themTed O'BRIEN: 47,136 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 23,224 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 15,264 votes stay with themNikki CIVITARESE: 7,743 votes stay with themLisa KHOURY: 6,721 votes stay with them1,410 votes from Wendy HAZELTON (excluded) go to Nikki CIVITARESE967 votes from Wendy HAZELTON (excluded) go to Lisa KHOURY727 votes from Wendy HAZELTON (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE294 votes from Wendy HAZELTON (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN173 votes from Wendy HAZELTON (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSONTed O'BRIEN: 47,430 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 23,397 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 15,991 votes stay with themNikki CIVITARESE: 9,153 votes stay with them5,521 votes from Lisa KHOURY (excluded) go to Nikki CIVITARESE1,013 votes from Lisa KHOURY (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN652 votes from Lisa KHOURY (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE502 votes from Lisa KHOURY (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSONTed O'BRIEN: 48,443 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 23,899 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 16,643 votes stay with them7,674 votes from Nikki CIVITARESE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN4,333 votes from Nikki CIVITARESE (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE2,667 votes from Nikki CIVITARESE (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSONTed O'BRIEN: 56,117 votes stay with themSue FERGUSON: 26,566 votes stay with them15,985 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Sue FERGUSON4,991 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIENTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 46,551 votes at first preferencesO'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 22,662 votes at first preferencesFERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 13,862 votes at first preferencesETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 6,798 votes at first preferencesCIVITARESELisa KHOURY (UAPP): 6,132 votes at first preferencesKHOURYTash POOLE (AJP): 2,182 votes at first preferencesWendy HAZELTON (IMO): 1,997 votes at first preferencesBarry SMITH (IND): 1,423 votes at first preferencesCraig WHITE (GAP): 1,319 votes at first preferencesSinim Barbara AUSTRALIE (IND): 733 votes at first preferencesTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 46,591 votes at count 1O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 22,719 votes at count 1FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 13,957 votes at count 1ETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 6,852 votes at count 1CIVITARESELisa KHOURY (UAPP): 6,170 votes at count 1KHOURYTash POOLE (AJP): 2,227 votes at count 1Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 2,021 votes at count 1Barry SMITH (IND): 1,771 votes at count 1Craig WHITE (GAP): 1,351 votes at count 1Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 46,647 votes at count 2O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 22,772 votes at count 2FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 14,011 votes at count 2ETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 7,241 votes at count 2CIVITARESELisa KHOURY (UAPP): 6,369 votes at count 2KHOURYTash POOLE (AJP): 2,280 votes at count 2Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 2,464 votes at count 2Barry SMITH (IND): 1,875 votes at count 2Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 46,851 votes at count 3O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 22,963 votes at count 3FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 14,300 votes at count 3ETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 7,517 votes at count 3CIVITARESELisa KHOURY (UAPP): 6,549 votes at count 3KHOURYTash POOLE (AJP): 2,656 votes at count 3Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 2,823 votes at count 3Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 47,136 votes at count 4O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 23,224 votes at count 4FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 15,264 votes at count 4ETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 7,743 votes at count 4CIVITARESELisa KHOURY (UAPP): 6,721 votes at count 4KHOURYWendy HAZELTON (IMO): 3,571 votes at count 4Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 47,430 votes at count 5O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 23,397 votes at count 5FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 15,991 votes at count 5ETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 9,153 votes at count 5CIVITARESELisa KHOURY (UAPP): 7,688 votes at count 5KHOURYTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 48,443 votes at count 6O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 23,899 votes at count 6FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 16,643 votes at count 6ETHERIDGENikki CIVITARESE (ON): 14,674 votes at count 6CIVITARESETed O'BRIEN (LNP): 56,117 votes at count 7O'BRIENSue FERGUSON (ALP): 26,566 votes at count 7FERGUSONSue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 20,976 votes at count 7ETHERIDGETed O'BRIEN (LNP): 61,108 votes at count 8O'BRIEN · electedSue FERGUSON (ALP): 42,551 votes at count 8FERGUSON · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Fairfax 2022: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIEIndependent733
  • Barry SMITH (IND): 348 (47.5%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 95 (13.0%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 57 (7.8%)
  • Nikki CIVITARESE (ON): 54 (7.4%)
  • Tash POOLE (AJP): 45 (6.1%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 40 (5.5%)
  • Lisa KHOURY (UAPP): 38 (5.2%)
  • Craig WHITE (GAP): 32 (4.4%)
  • Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 24 (3.3%)
2Craig WHITEThe Great Australian Party1,351
  • Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 443 (32.8%)
  • Nikki CIVITARESE (ON): 389 (28.8%)
  • Lisa KHOURY (UAPP): 199 (14.7%)
  • Barry SMITH (IND): 104 (7.7%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 56 (4.1%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 54 (4.0%)
  • Tash POOLE (AJP): 53 (3.9%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 53 (3.9%)
3Barry SMITHIndependent1,875
  • Tash POOLE (AJP): 376 (20.1%)
  • Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 359 (19.1%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 289 (15.4%)
  • Nikki CIVITARESE (ON): 276 (14.7%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 204 (10.9%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 191 (10.2%)
  • Lisa KHOURY (UAPP): 180 (9.6%)
4Tash POOLEAnimal Justice Party2,656
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 964 (36.3%)
  • Wendy HAZELTON (IMO): 748 (28.2%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 285 (10.7%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 261 (9.8%)
  • Nikki CIVITARESE (ON): 226 (8.5%)
  • Lisa KHOURY (UAPP): 172 (6.5%)
5Wendy HAZELTONInformed Medical Options Party3,571
  • Nikki CIVITARESE (ON): 1,410 (39.5%)
  • Lisa KHOURY (UAPP): 967 (27.1%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 727 (20.4%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 294 (8.2%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 173 (4.8%)
6Lisa KHOURYUnited Australia Party7,688
  • Nikki CIVITARESE (ON): 5,521 (71.8%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 1,013 (13.2%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 652 (8.5%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 502 (6.5%)
7Nikki CIVITARESEPauline Hanson's One Nation14,674
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 7,674 (52.3%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 4,333 (29.5%)
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 2,667 (18.2%)
8Sue ETHERIDGEQueensland Greens20,976
  • Sue FERGUSON (ALP): 15,985 (76.2%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 4,991 (23.8%)

Votes after every count

Fairfax 2022: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Count 8
Ted O'BRIENLiberal National Party of Queensland · elected46,55146,59146,64746,85147,13647,43048,44356,11761,108
Sue FERGUSONAustralian Labor Party22,66222,71922,77222,96323,22423,39723,89926,56642,551
Sue ETHERIDGEQueensland Greens13,86213,95714,01114,30015,26415,99116,64320,976–
Nikki CIVITARESEPauline Hanson's One Nation6,7986,8527,2417,5177,7439,15314,674––
Lisa KHOURYUnited Australia Party6,1326,1706,3696,5496,7217,688–––
Tash POOLEAnimal Justice Party2,1822,2272,2802,656–––––
Wendy HAZELTONInformed Medical Options Party1,9972,0212,4642,8233,571––––
Barry SMITHIndependent1,4231,7711,875––––––
Craig WHITEThe Great Australian Party1,3191,351–––––––
Sinim Barbara AUSTRALIEIndependent733––––––––

2019 Federal election

Ted O'BRIEN (Liberal National Party of Queensland) won Fairfax in 2019 with 61,944 of the 97,640 votes in the final count, beating Julie McGLONE (Australian Labor Party) by 26,248 votes (63.4% to 36.6%). O'Brien led on first preferences with 49.6% of 97,640 formal votes and passed the 48,821-vote majority at count 2.

97,640 formal votes9 candidates7 counts26,248-vote final margin

Fairfax 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Fairfax at the 2019 Federal election. Ted O'BRIEN was elected after 7 counts, 61,944 votes to 35,696 for Julie McGLONE. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Ted O'BRIEN: 48,451 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 20,976 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 12,291 votes stay with themPaul HENSELIN: 7,661 votes stay with themKylie Natasha COWLING: 2,987 votes stay with themJake Luke RYAN: 1,502 votes stay with themRichard BELCHER: 1,410 votes stay with themSinim AUSTRALIE: 1,318 votes stay with them327 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN173 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Paul HENSELIN157 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Julie McGLONE110 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE105 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Sinim AUSTRALIE76 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Kylie Natasha COWLING49 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Richard BELCHER47 votes from Bertrand CADART (excluded) go to Jake Luke RYANTed O'BRIEN: 48,778 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 21,133 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 12,401 votes stay with themPaul HENSELIN: 7,834 votes stay with themKylie Natasha COWLING: 3,063 votes stay with themJake Luke RYAN: 1,549 votes stay with themRichard BELCHER: 1,459 votes stay with them349 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Richard BELCHER248 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Julie McGLONE225 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE193 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Paul HENSELIN188 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN116 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Jake Luke RYAN104 votes from Sinim AUSTRALIE (excluded) go to Kylie Natasha COWLINGTed O'BRIEN: 48,966 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 21,381 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 12,626 votes stay with themPaul HENSELIN: 8,027 votes stay with themKylie Natasha COWLING: 3,167 votes stay with them734 votes from Jake Luke RYAN (excluded) go to Paul HENSELIN318 votes from Jake Luke RYAN (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN285 votes from Jake Luke RYAN (excluded) go to Kylie Natasha COWLING136 votes from Jake Luke RYAN (excluded) go to Richard BELCHER121 votes from Jake Luke RYAN (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE71 votes from Jake Luke RYAN (excluded) go to Julie McGLONERichard BELCHER: 1,808 votes stay with themTed O'BRIEN: 49,284 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 21,452 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 12,747 votes stay with themPaul HENSELIN: 8,761 votes stay with themKylie Natasha COWLING: 3,452 votes stay with them811 votes from Richard BELCHER (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE362 votes from Richard BELCHER (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN308 votes from Richard BELCHER (excluded) go to Paul HENSELIN260 votes from Richard BELCHER (excluded) go to Julie McGLONE203 votes from Richard BELCHER (excluded) go to Kylie Natasha COWLINGTed O'BRIEN: 49,646 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 21,712 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 13,558 votes stay with themPaul HENSELIN: 9,069 votes stay with them1,361 votes from Kylie Natasha COWLING (excluded) go to Paul HENSELIN1,058 votes from Kylie Natasha COWLING (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN894 votes from Kylie Natasha COWLING (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE342 votes from Kylie Natasha COWLING (excluded) go to Julie McGLONETed O'BRIEN: 50,704 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 22,054 votes stay with themSue ETHERIDGE: 14,452 votes stay with them5,679 votes from Paul HENSELIN (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIEN2,448 votes from Paul HENSELIN (excluded) go to Sue ETHERIDGE2,303 votes from Paul HENSELIN (excluded) go to Julie McGLONETed O'BRIEN: 56,383 votes stay with themJulie McGLONE: 24,357 votes stay with them11,339 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Julie McGLONE5,561 votes from Sue ETHERIDGE (excluded) go to Ted O'BRIENTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 48,451 votes at first preferencesO'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 20,976 votes at first preferencesMcGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 12,291 votes at first preferencesETHERIDGEPaul HENSELIN (ON): 7,661 votes at first preferencesHENSELINKylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 2,987 votes at first preferencesJake Luke RYAN (FACN): 1,502 votes at first preferencesRichard BELCHER (SPP): 1,410 votes at first preferencesSinim AUSTRALIE (IND): 1,318 votes at first preferencesBertrand CADART (LDP): 1,044 votes at first preferencesTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 48,778 votes at count 1O'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 21,133 votes at count 1McGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 12,401 votes at count 1ETHERIDGEPaul HENSELIN (ON): 7,834 votes at count 1HENSELINKylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 3,063 votes at count 1Jake Luke RYAN (FACN): 1,549 votes at count 1Richard BELCHER (SPP): 1,459 votes at count 1Sinim AUSTRALIE (IND): 1,423 votes at count 1Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 48,966 votes at count 2O'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 21,381 votes at count 2McGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 12,626 votes at count 2ETHERIDGEPaul HENSELIN (ON): 8,027 votes at count 2HENSELINKylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 3,167 votes at count 2Jake Luke RYAN (FACN): 1,665 votes at count 2Richard BELCHER (SPP): 1,808 votes at count 2Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 49,284 votes at count 3O'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 21,452 votes at count 3McGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 12,747 votes at count 3ETHERIDGEPaul HENSELIN (ON): 8,761 votes at count 3HENSELINKylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 3,452 votes at count 3Richard BELCHER (SPP): 1,944 votes at count 3Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 49,646 votes at count 4O'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 21,712 votes at count 4McGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 13,558 votes at count 4ETHERIDGEPaul HENSELIN (ON): 9,069 votes at count 4HENSELINKylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 3,655 votes at count 4Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 50,704 votes at count 5O'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 22,054 votes at count 5McGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 14,452 votes at count 5ETHERIDGEPaul HENSELIN (ON): 10,430 votes at count 5HENSELINTed O'BRIEN (LNP): 56,383 votes at count 6O'BRIENJulie McGLONE (ALP): 24,357 votes at count 6McGLONESue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 16,900 votes at count 6ETHERIDGETed O'BRIEN (LNP): 61,944 votes at count 7O'BRIEN · electedJulie McGLONE (ALP): 35,696 votes at count 7McGLONE · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Fairfax 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Bertrand CADARTLiberal Democrats1,044
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 327 (31.3%)
  • Paul HENSELIN (ON): 173 (16.6%)
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 157 (15.0%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 110 (10.5%)
  • Sinim AUSTRALIE (IND): 105 (10.1%)
  • Kylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 76 (7.3%)
  • Richard BELCHER (SPP): 49 (4.7%)
  • Jake Luke RYAN (FACN): 47 (4.5%)
2Sinim AUSTRALIEIndependent1,423
  • Richard BELCHER (SPP): 349 (24.5%)
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 248 (17.4%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 225 (15.8%)
  • Paul HENSELIN (ON): 193 (13.6%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 188 (13.2%)
  • Jake Luke RYAN (FACN): 116 (8.2%)
  • Kylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 104 (7.3%)
3Jake Luke RYANFRASER ANNING'S CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL PARTY1,665
  • Paul HENSELIN (ON): 734 (44.1%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 318 (19.1%)
  • Kylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 285 (17.1%)
  • Richard BELCHER (SPP): 136 (8.2%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 121 (7.3%)
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 71 (4.3%)
4Richard BELCHERSustainable Australia1,944
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 811 (41.7%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 362 (18.6%)
  • Paul HENSELIN (ON): 308 (15.8%)
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 260 (13.4%)
  • Kylie Natasha COWLING (UAPP): 203 (10.4%)
5Kylie Natasha COWLINGUnited Australia Party3,655
  • Paul HENSELIN (ON): 1,361 (37.2%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 1,058 (28.9%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 894 (24.5%)
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 342 (9.4%)
6Paul HENSELINPauline Hanson's One Nation10,430
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 5,679 (54.4%)
  • Sue ETHERIDGE (GRN): 2,448 (23.5%)
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 2,303 (22.1%)
7Sue ETHERIDGEThe Greens16,900
  • Julie McGLONE (ALP): 11,339 (67.1%)
  • Ted O'BRIEN (LNP): 5,561 (32.9%)

Votes after every count

Fairfax 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7
Ted O'BRIENLiberal National Party of Queensland · elected48,45148,77848,96649,28449,64650,70456,38361,944
Julie McGLONEAustralian Labor Party20,97621,13321,38121,45221,71222,05424,35735,696
Sue ETHERIDGEThe Greens12,29112,40112,62612,74713,55814,45216,900–
Paul HENSELINPauline Hanson's One Nation7,6617,8348,0278,7619,06910,430––
Kylie Natasha COWLINGUnited Australia Party2,9873,0633,1673,4523,655–––
Jake Luke RYANFRASER ANNING'S CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL PARTY1,5021,5491,665–––––
Richard BELCHERSustainable Australia1,4101,4591,8081,944––––
Sinim AUSTRALIEIndependent1,3181,423––––––
Bertrand CADARTLiberal Democrats1,044–––––––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.