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Eden-Monaro: preference flows

NSW · how preferences were distributed at the 2025, 2022, 2019 Federal elections

202520222019
Results by election
ElectionElectedRunner-upFinal marginCountsWon
2025Kristy McBAINLaborJo van der PLAATLiberal15,4526Majority at count 6
2022Kristy McBAINLaborJerry NOCKLESLiberal16,6498Majority at count 8
2019Mike KELLYLaborFiona KOTVOJSLiberal1,6856Majority at count 6

2025 Federal election

Kristy McBAIN (Labor) won Eden-Monaro in 2025 with 61,270 of the 107,088 votes in the final count, beating Jo van der PLAAT (Liberal) by 15,452 votes (57.2% to 42.8%). Mcbain led on first preferences with 43.0% of 107,088 formal votes and passed the 53,545-vote majority at count 6.

107,088 formal votes8 candidates6 counts15,452-vote final margin

Eden-Monaro 2025: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Eden-Monaro at the 2025 Federal election. Kristy McBAIN was elected after 6 counts, 61,270 votes to 45,818 for Jo van der PLAAT. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Kristy McBAIN: 46,088 votes stay with themJo van der PLAAT: 34,142 votes stay with themEmma GOWARD: 10,739 votes stay with themRichard GRAHAM: 7,451 votes stay with themWade Ewart COX: 2,587 votes stay with themAndrew Evan THALER: 2,499 votes stay with themFraser BUCHANAN: 1,881 votes stay with them611 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Andrew Evan THALER304 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Emma GOWARD297 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN182 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Jo van der PLAAT147 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Fraser BUCHANAN103 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Richard GRAHAM57 votes from Brian FISHER (excluded) go to Wade Ewart COXKristy McBAIN: 46,385 votes stay with themJo van der PLAAT: 34,324 votes stay with themEmma GOWARD: 11,043 votes stay with themRichard GRAHAM: 7,554 votes stay with themWade Ewart COX: 2,644 votes stay with themAndrew Evan THALER: 3,110 votes stay with them961 votes from Fraser BUCHANAN (excluded) go to Andrew Evan THALER362 votes from Fraser BUCHANAN (excluded) go to Richard GRAHAM293 votes from Fraser BUCHANAN (excluded) go to Wade Ewart COX153 votes from Fraser BUCHANAN (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN131 votes from Fraser BUCHANAN (excluded) go to Emma GOWARD128 votes from Fraser BUCHANAN (excluded) go to Jo van der PLAATKristy McBAIN: 46,538 votes stay with themJo van der PLAAT: 34,452 votes stay with themEmma GOWARD: 11,174 votes stay with themRichard GRAHAM: 7,916 votes stay with them1,264 votes from Wade Ewart COX (excluded) go to Richard GRAHAM786 votes from Wade Ewart COX (excluded) go to Andrew Evan THALER547 votes from Wade Ewart COX (excluded) go to Jo van der PLAAT247 votes from Wade Ewart COX (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN93 votes from Wade Ewart COX (excluded) go to Emma GOWARDAndrew Evan THALER: 4,071 votes stay with themKristy McBAIN: 46,785 votes stay with themJo van der PLAAT: 34,999 votes stay with themEmma GOWARD: 11,267 votes stay with themRichard GRAHAM: 9,180 votes stay with them1,977 votes from Andrew Evan THALER (excluded) go to Richard GRAHAM1,279 votes from Andrew Evan THALER (excluded) go to Jo van der PLAAT837 votes from Andrew Evan THALER (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN764 votes from Andrew Evan THALER (excluded) go to Emma GOWARDKristy McBAIN: 47,622 votes stay with themJo van der PLAAT: 36,278 votes stay with themEmma GOWARD: 12,031 votes stay with them7,520 votes from Richard GRAHAM (excluded) go to Jo van der PLAAT1,860 votes from Richard GRAHAM (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN1,777 votes from Richard GRAHAM (excluded) go to Emma GOWARDKristy McBAIN: 49,482 votes stay with themJo van der PLAAT: 43,798 votes stay with them11,788 votes from Emma GOWARD (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN2,020 votes from Emma GOWARD (excluded) go to Jo van der PLAATKristy McBAIN (ALP): 46,088 votes at first preferencesMcBAINJo van der PLAAT (LP): 34,142 votes at first preferencesvan der PLAATEmma GOWARD (GRN): 10,739 votes at first preferencesGOWARDRichard GRAHAM (ON): 7,451 votes at first preferencesGRAHAMWade Ewart COX (CYA): 2,587 votes at first preferencesAndrew Evan THALER (IND): 2,499 votes at first preferencesFraser BUCHANAN (IMO): 1,881 votes at first preferencesBrian FISHER (IND): 1,701 votes at first preferencesKristy McBAIN (ALP): 46,385 votes at count 1McBAINJo van der PLAAT (LP): 34,324 votes at count 1van der PLAATEmma GOWARD (GRN): 11,043 votes at count 1GOWARDRichard GRAHAM (ON): 7,554 votes at count 1GRAHAMWade Ewart COX (CYA): 2,644 votes at count 1Andrew Evan THALER (IND): 3,110 votes at count 1Fraser BUCHANAN (IMO): 2,028 votes at count 1Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 46,538 votes at count 2McBAINJo van der PLAAT (LP): 34,452 votes at count 2van der PLAATEmma GOWARD (GRN): 11,174 votes at count 2GOWARDRichard GRAHAM (ON): 7,916 votes at count 2GRAHAMWade Ewart COX (CYA): 2,937 votes at count 2Andrew Evan THALER (IND): 4,071 votes at count 2Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 46,785 votes at count 3McBAINJo van der PLAAT (LP): 34,999 votes at count 3van der PLAATEmma GOWARD (GRN): 11,267 votes at count 3GOWARDRichard GRAHAM (ON): 9,180 votes at count 3GRAHAMAndrew Evan THALER (IND): 4,857 votes at count 3THALERKristy McBAIN (ALP): 47,622 votes at count 4McBAINJo van der PLAAT (LP): 36,278 votes at count 4van der PLAATEmma GOWARD (GRN): 12,031 votes at count 4GOWARDRichard GRAHAM (ON): 11,157 votes at count 4GRAHAMKristy McBAIN (ALP): 49,482 votes at count 5McBAINJo van der PLAAT (LP): 43,798 votes at count 5van der PLAATEmma GOWARD (GRN): 13,808 votes at count 5GOWARDKristy McBAIN (ALP): 61,270 votes at count 6McBAIN · electedJo van der PLAAT (LP): 45,818 votes at count 6van der PLAAT · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Eden-Monaro 2025: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Brian FISHERIndependent1,701
  • Andrew Evan THALER (IND): 611 (35.9%)
  • Emma GOWARD (GRN): 304 (17.9%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 297 (17.5%)
  • Jo van der PLAAT (LP): 182 (10.7%)
  • Fraser BUCHANAN (IMO): 147 (8.6%)
  • Richard GRAHAM (ON): 103 (6.1%)
  • Wade Ewart COX (CYA): 57 (3.4%)
2Fraser BUCHANANHEART Party2,028
  • Andrew Evan THALER (IND): 961 (47.4%)
  • Richard GRAHAM (ON): 362 (17.9%)
  • Wade Ewart COX (CYA): 293 (14.4%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 153 (7.5%)
  • Emma GOWARD (GRN): 131 (6.5%)
  • Jo van der PLAAT (LP): 128 (6.3%)
3Wade Ewart COXTrumpet of Patriots2,937
  • Richard GRAHAM (ON): 1,264 (43.0%)
  • Andrew Evan THALER (IND): 786 (26.8%)
  • Jo van der PLAAT (LP): 547 (18.6%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 247 (8.4%)
  • Emma GOWARD (GRN): 93 (3.2%)
4Andrew Evan THALERIndependent4,857
  • Richard GRAHAM (ON): 1,977 (40.7%)
  • Jo van der PLAAT (LP): 1,279 (26.3%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 837 (17.2%)
  • Emma GOWARD (GRN): 764 (15.7%)
5Richard GRAHAMPauline Hanson's One Nation11,157
  • Jo van der PLAAT (LP): 7,520 (67.4%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 1,860 (16.7%)
  • Emma GOWARD (GRN): 1,777 (15.9%)
6Emma GOWARDThe Greens13,808
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 11,788 (85.4%)
  • Jo van der PLAAT (LP): 2,020 (14.6%)

Votes after every count

Eden-Monaro 2025: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6
Kristy McBAINLabor · elected46,08846,38546,53846,78547,62249,48261,270
Jo van der PLAATLiberal34,14234,32434,45234,99936,27843,79845,818
Emma GOWARDThe Greens10,73911,04311,17411,26712,03113,808–
Richard GRAHAMPauline Hanson's One Nation7,4517,5547,9169,18011,157––
Wade Ewart COXTrumpet of Patriots2,5872,6442,937––––
Andrew Evan THALERIndependent2,4993,1104,0714,857–––
Fraser BUCHANANHEART Party1,8812,028–––––
Brian FISHERIndependent1,701––––––

2022 Federal election

Kristy McBAIN (Labor) won Eden-Monaro in 2022 with 59,083 of the 101,517 votes in the final count, beating Jerry NOCKLES (Liberal) by 16,649 votes (58.2% to 41.8%). Mcbain led on first preferences with 42.6% of 101,517 formal votes and passed the 50,759-vote majority at count 8.

101,517 formal votes10 candidates8 counts16,649-vote final margin

Eden-Monaro 2022: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Eden-Monaro at the 2022 Federal election. Kristy McBAIN was elected after 8 counts, 59,083 votes to 42,434 for Jerry NOCKLES. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Count 8Kristy McBAIN: 43,215 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 33,520 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 9,376 votes stay with themBoyd SHANNON: 4,351 votes stay with themMaxwell HOLMES: 2,625 votes stay with themDarren Scott GARNON: 2,566 votes stay with themJames HOLGATE: 2,260 votes stay with themAndrew THALER: 2,044 votes stay with themToni McLENNAN: 909 votes stay with them168 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN113 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Vivian HARRIS102 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to James HOLGATE75 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLES60 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Maxwell HOLMES50 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Darren Scott GARNON46 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Andrew THALER19 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Boyd SHANNON18 votes from Greg BUTLER (excluded) go to Toni McLENNANKristy McBAIN: 43,383 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 33,595 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 9,489 votes stay with themBoyd SHANNON: 4,370 votes stay with themMaxwell HOLMES: 2,685 votes stay with themDarren Scott GARNON: 2,616 votes stay with themJames HOLGATE: 2,362 votes stay with themAndrew THALER: 2,090 votes stay with them205 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to James HOLGATE198 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Andrew THALER145 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Boyd SHANNON120 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Darren Scott GARNON93 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Maxwell HOLMES64 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN61 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Vivian HARRIS41 votes from Toni McLENNAN (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLESKristy McBAIN: 43,447 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 33,636 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 9,550 votes stay with themBoyd SHANNON: 4,515 votes stay with themMaxwell HOLMES: 2,778 votes stay with themDarren Scott GARNON: 2,736 votes stay with themJames HOLGATE: 2,567 votes stay with them521 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to Boyd SHANNON410 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to James HOLGATE370 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN314 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to Vivian HARRIS239 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLES228 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to Darren Scott GARNON206 votes from Andrew THALER (excluded) go to Maxwell HOLMESKristy McBAIN: 43,817 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 33,875 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 9,864 votes stay with themBoyd SHANNON: 5,036 votes stay with themMaxwell HOLMES: 2,984 votes stay with them1,259 votes from Darren Scott GARNON (excluded) go to Boyd SHANNON620 votes from Darren Scott GARNON (excluded) go to Maxwell HOLMES356 votes from Darren Scott GARNON (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLES321 votes from Darren Scott GARNON (excluded) go to James HOLGATE284 votes from Darren Scott GARNON (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN124 votes from Darren Scott GARNON (excluded) go to Vivian HARRISJames HOLGATE: 2,977 votes stay with themKristy McBAIN: 44,101 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 34,231 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 9,988 votes stay with themBoyd SHANNON: 6,295 votes stay with themMaxwell HOLMES: 3,604 votes stay with them853 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Maxwell HOLMES836 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Vivian HARRIS785 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN554 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Boyd SHANNON270 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLESKristy McBAIN: 44,886 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 34,501 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 10,824 votes stay with themBoyd SHANNON: 6,849 votes stay with them1,697 votes from Maxwell HOLMES (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLES1,368 votes from Maxwell HOLMES (excluded) go to Boyd SHANNON1,155 votes from Maxwell HOLMES (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN237 votes from Maxwell HOLMES (excluded) go to Vivian HARRISKristy McBAIN: 46,041 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 36,198 votes stay with themVivian HARRIS: 11,061 votes stay with them4,119 votes from Boyd SHANNON (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLES2,260 votes from Boyd SHANNON (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN1,838 votes from Boyd SHANNON (excluded) go to Vivian HARRISKristy McBAIN: 48,301 votes stay with themJerry NOCKLES: 40,317 votes stay with them10,782 votes from Vivian HARRIS (excluded) go to Kristy McBAIN2,117 votes from Vivian HARRIS (excluded) go to Jerry NOCKLESKristy McBAIN (ALP): 43,215 votes at first preferencesMcBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 33,520 votes at first preferencesNOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 9,376 votes at first preferencesHARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 4,351 votes at first preferencesSHANNONMaxwell HOLMES (LDP): 2,625 votes at first preferencesDarren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 2,566 votes at first preferencesJames HOLGATE (SPP): 2,260 votes at first preferencesAndrew THALER (IND): 2,044 votes at first preferencesToni McLENNAN (IMO): 909 votes at first preferencesGreg BUTLER (AUD): 651 votes at first preferencesKristy McBAIN (ALP): 43,383 votes at count 1McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 33,595 votes at count 1NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 9,489 votes at count 1HARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 4,370 votes at count 1SHANNONMaxwell HOLMES (LDP): 2,685 votes at count 1Darren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 2,616 votes at count 1James HOLGATE (SPP): 2,362 votes at count 1Andrew THALER (IND): 2,090 votes at count 1Toni McLENNAN (IMO): 927 votes at count 1Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 43,447 votes at count 2McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 33,636 votes at count 2NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 9,550 votes at count 2HARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 4,515 votes at count 2SHANNONMaxwell HOLMES (LDP): 2,778 votes at count 2Darren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 2,736 votes at count 2James HOLGATE (SPP): 2,567 votes at count 2Andrew THALER (IND): 2,288 votes at count 2Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 43,817 votes at count 3McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 33,875 votes at count 3NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 9,864 votes at count 3HARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 5,036 votes at count 3SHANNONMaxwell HOLMES (LDP): 2,984 votes at count 3Darren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 2,964 votes at count 3James HOLGATE (SPP): 2,977 votes at count 3Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 44,101 votes at count 4McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 34,231 votes at count 4NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 9,988 votes at count 4HARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 6,295 votes at count 4SHANNONMaxwell HOLMES (LDP): 3,604 votes at count 4James HOLGATE (SPP): 3,298 votes at count 4Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 44,886 votes at count 5McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 34,501 votes at count 5NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 10,824 votes at count 5HARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 6,849 votes at count 5SHANNONMaxwell HOLMES (LDP): 4,457 votes at count 5HOLMESKristy McBAIN (ALP): 46,041 votes at count 6McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 36,198 votes at count 6NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 11,061 votes at count 6HARRISBoyd SHANNON (ON): 8,217 votes at count 6SHANNONKristy McBAIN (ALP): 48,301 votes at count 7McBAINJerry NOCKLES (LP): 40,317 votes at count 7NOCKLESVivian HARRIS (GRN): 12,899 votes at count 7HARRISKristy McBAIN (ALP): 59,083 votes at count 8McBAIN · electedJerry NOCKLES (LP): 42,434 votes at count 8NOCKLES · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Eden-Monaro 2022: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Greg BUTLERAustralian Democrats651
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 168 (25.8%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 113 (17.4%)
  • James HOLGATE (SPP): 102 (15.7%)
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 75 (11.5%)
  • Maxwell HOLMES (LDP): 60 (9.2%)
  • Darren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 50 (7.7%)
  • Andrew THALER (IND): 46 (7.1%)
  • Boyd SHANNON (ON): 19 (2.9%)
  • Toni McLENNAN (IMO): 18 (2.8%)
2Toni McLENNANInformed Medical Options Party927
  • James HOLGATE (SPP): 205 (22.1%)
  • Andrew THALER (IND): 198 (21.4%)
  • Boyd SHANNON (ON): 145 (15.6%)
  • Darren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 120 (12.9%)
  • Maxwell HOLMES (LDP): 93 (10.0%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 64 (6.9%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 61 (6.6%)
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 41 (4.4%)
3Andrew THALERIndependent2,288
  • Boyd SHANNON (ON): 521 (22.8%)
  • James HOLGATE (SPP): 410 (17.9%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 370 (16.2%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 314 (13.7%)
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 239 (10.4%)
  • Darren Scott GARNON (UAPP): 228 (10.0%)
  • Maxwell HOLMES (LDP): 206 (9.0%)
4Darren Scott GARNONUnited Australia Party2,964
  • Boyd SHANNON (ON): 1,259 (42.5%)
  • Maxwell HOLMES (LDP): 620 (20.9%)
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 356 (12.0%)
  • James HOLGATE (SPP): 321 (10.8%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 284 (9.6%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 124 (4.2%)
5James HOLGATESustainable Australia Party - Stop Overdevelopment / Corruption3,298
  • Maxwell HOLMES (LDP): 853 (25.9%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 836 (25.3%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 785 (23.8%)
  • Boyd SHANNON (ON): 554 (16.8%)
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 270 (8.2%)
6Maxwell HOLMESLiberal Democrats4,457
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 1,697 (38.1%)
  • Boyd SHANNON (ON): 1,368 (30.7%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 1,155 (25.9%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 237 (5.3%)
7Boyd SHANNONPauline Hanson's One Nation8,217
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 4,119 (50.1%)
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 2,260 (27.5%)
  • Vivian HARRIS (GRN): 1,838 (22.4%)
8Vivian HARRISThe Greens12,899
  • Kristy McBAIN (ALP): 10,782 (83.6%)
  • Jerry NOCKLES (LP): 2,117 (16.4%)

Votes after every count

Eden-Monaro 2022: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Count 7Count 8
Kristy McBAINLabor · elected43,21543,38343,44743,81744,10144,88646,04148,30159,083
Jerry NOCKLESLiberal33,52033,59533,63633,87534,23134,50136,19840,31742,434
Vivian HARRISThe Greens9,3769,4899,5509,8649,98810,82411,06112,899–
Boyd SHANNONPauline Hanson's One Nation4,3514,3704,5155,0366,2956,8498,217––
Maxwell HOLMESLiberal Democrats2,6252,6852,7782,9843,6044,457–––
Darren Scott GARNONUnited Australia Party2,5662,6162,7362,964–––––
James HOLGATESustainable Australia Party - Stop Overdevelopment / Corruption2,2602,3622,5672,9773,298––––
Andrew THALERIndependent2,0442,0902,288––––––
Toni McLENNANInformed Medical Options Party909927–––––––
Greg BUTLERAustralian Democrats651––––––––

2019 Federal election

Mike KELLY (Labor) won Eden-Monaro in 2019 with 50,472 of the 99,259 votes in the final count, beating Fiona KOTVOJS (Liberal) by 1,685 votes (50.8% to 49.2%). Kelly led on first preferences with 39.2% of 99,259 formal votes and passed the 49,630-vote majority at count 6.

99,259 formal votes8 candidates6 counts1,685-vote final margin

Eden-Monaro 2019: preference flowsSankey diagram of the distribution of preferences in Eden-Monaro at the 2019 Federal election. Mike KELLY was elected after 6 counts, 50,472 votes to 48,787 for Fiona KOTVOJS. The table below gives every figure.First prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6Mike KELLY: 38,878 votes stay with themFiona KOTVOJS: 36,732 votes stay with themPat McGINLAY: 8,715 votes stay with themSophie WADE: 6,899 votes stay with themChandra SINGH: 2,748 votes stay with themDavid William SHELDON: 2,247 votes stay with themJames HOLGATE: 1,883 votes stay with them441 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to Fiona KOTVOJS215 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to Chandra SINGH193 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to Sophie WADE122 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to James HOLGATE81 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to David William SHELDON79 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to Mike KELLY26 votes from Thomas HARRIS (excluded) go to Pat McGINLAYMike KELLY: 38,957 votes stay with themFiona KOTVOJS: 37,173 votes stay with themPat McGINLAY: 8,741 votes stay with themSophie WADE: 7,092 votes stay with themChandra SINGH: 2,963 votes stay with themDavid William SHELDON: 2,328 votes stay with them1,055 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to David William SHELDON304 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Chandra SINGH234 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Mike KELLY163 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Sophie WADE128 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Pat McGINLAY121 votes from James HOLGATE (excluded) go to Fiona KOTVOJSMike KELLY: 39,191 votes stay with themFiona KOTVOJS: 37,294 votes stay with themPat McGINLAY: 8,869 votes stay with themSophie WADE: 7,255 votes stay with them923 votes from Chandra SINGH (excluded) go to Sophie WADE902 votes from Chandra SINGH (excluded) go to David William SHELDON821 votes from Chandra SINGH (excluded) go to Fiona KOTVOJS457 votes from Chandra SINGH (excluded) go to Mike KELLY164 votes from Chandra SINGH (excluded) go to Pat McGINLAYDavid William SHELDON: 3,383 votes stay with themMike KELLY: 39,648 votes stay with themFiona KOTVOJS: 38,115 votes stay with themPat McGINLAY: 9,033 votes stay with themSophie WADE: 8,178 votes stay with them1,651 votes from David William SHELDON (excluded) go to Sophie WADE970 votes from David William SHELDON (excluded) go to Mike KELLY852 votes from David William SHELDON (excluded) go to Fiona KOTVOJS812 votes from David William SHELDON (excluded) go to Pat McGINLAYMike KELLY: 40,618 votes stay with themFiona KOTVOJS: 38,967 votes stay with themPat McGINLAY: 9,845 votes stay with them7,167 votes from Sophie WADE (excluded) go to Fiona KOTVOJS1,421 votes from Sophie WADE (excluded) go to Pat McGINLAY1,241 votes from Sophie WADE (excluded) go to Mike KELLYMike KELLY: 41,859 votes stay with themFiona KOTVOJS: 46,134 votes stay with them8,613 votes from Pat McGINLAY (excluded) go to Mike KELLY2,653 votes from Pat McGINLAY (excluded) go to Fiona KOTVOJSMike KELLY (ALP): 38,878 votes at first preferencesKELLYFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 36,732 votes at first preferencesKOTVOJSPat McGINLAY (GRN): 8,715 votes at first preferencesMcGINLAYSophie WADE (NP): 6,899 votes at first preferencesWADEChandra SINGH (UAPP): 2,748 votes at first preferencesDavid William SHELDON (IND): 2,247 votes at first preferencesJames HOLGATE (IND): 1,883 votes at first preferencesThomas HARRIS (CDP): 1,157 votes at first preferencesMike KELLY (ALP): 38,957 votes at count 1KELLYFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 37,173 votes at count 1KOTVOJSPat McGINLAY (GRN): 8,741 votes at count 1McGINLAYSophie WADE (NP): 7,092 votes at count 1WADEChandra SINGH (UAPP): 2,963 votes at count 1David William SHELDON (IND): 2,328 votes at count 1James HOLGATE (IND): 2,005 votes at count 1Mike KELLY (ALP): 39,191 votes at count 2KELLYFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 37,294 votes at count 2KOTVOJSPat McGINLAY (GRN): 8,869 votes at count 2McGINLAYSophie WADE (NP): 7,255 votes at count 2WADEChandra SINGH (UAPP): 3,267 votes at count 2David William SHELDON (IND): 3,383 votes at count 2Mike KELLY (ALP): 39,648 votes at count 3KELLYFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 38,115 votes at count 3KOTVOJSPat McGINLAY (GRN): 9,033 votes at count 3McGINLAYSophie WADE (NP): 8,178 votes at count 3WADEDavid William SHELDON (IND): 4,285 votes at count 3SHELDONMike KELLY (ALP): 40,618 votes at count 4KELLYFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 38,967 votes at count 4KOTVOJSPat McGINLAY (GRN): 9,845 votes at count 4McGINLAYSophie WADE (NP): 9,829 votes at count 4WADEMike KELLY (ALP): 41,859 votes at count 5KELLYFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 46,134 votes at count 5KOTVOJSPat McGINLAY (GRN): 11,266 votes at count 5McGINLAYMike KELLY (ALP): 50,472 votes at count 6KELLY · electedFiona KOTVOJS (LP): 48,787 votes at count 6KOTVOJS · runner-up
Each column is a count. Bar height = votes held; the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded and their votes flow to the others. Hover or tap a candidate to highlight their flows.

What happened, count by count

Where the preferences went

Eden-Monaro 2019: where each excluded candidate’s votes went
CountExcludedVotes distributedPassed to
1Thomas HARRISChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)1,157
  • Fiona KOTVOJS (LP): 441 (38.1%)
  • Chandra SINGH (UAPP): 215 (18.6%)
  • Sophie WADE (NP): 193 (16.7%)
  • James HOLGATE (IND): 122 (10.5%)
  • David William SHELDON (IND): 81 (7.0%)
  • Mike KELLY (ALP): 79 (6.8%)
  • Pat McGINLAY (GRN): 26 (2.2%)
2James HOLGATEIndependent2,005
  • David William SHELDON (IND): 1,055 (52.6%)
  • Chandra SINGH (UAPP): 304 (15.2%)
  • Mike KELLY (ALP): 234 (11.7%)
  • Sophie WADE (NP): 163 (8.1%)
  • Pat McGINLAY (GRN): 128 (6.4%)
  • Fiona KOTVOJS (LP): 121 (6.0%)
3Chandra SINGHUnited Australia Party3,267
  • Sophie WADE (NP): 923 (28.3%)
  • David William SHELDON (IND): 902 (27.6%)
  • Fiona KOTVOJS (LP): 821 (25.1%)
  • Mike KELLY (ALP): 457 (14.0%)
  • Pat McGINLAY (GRN): 164 (5.0%)
4David William SHELDONIndependent4,285
  • Sophie WADE (NP): 1,651 (38.5%)
  • Mike KELLY (ALP): 970 (22.6%)
  • Fiona KOTVOJS (LP): 852 (19.9%)
  • Pat McGINLAY (GRN): 812 (18.9%)
5Sophie WADEThe Nationals9,829
  • Fiona KOTVOJS (LP): 7,167 (72.9%)
  • Pat McGINLAY (GRN): 1,421 (14.5%)
  • Mike KELLY (ALP): 1,241 (12.6%)
6Pat McGINLAYThe Greens11,266
  • Mike KELLY (ALP): 8,613 (76.5%)
  • Fiona KOTVOJS (LP): 2,653 (23.5%)

Votes after every count

Eden-Monaro 2019: votes held by each candidate after every count (– = excluded)
CandidateFirst prefsCount 1Count 2Count 3Count 4Count 5Count 6
Mike KELLYLabor · elected38,87838,95739,19139,64840,61841,85950,472
Fiona KOTVOJSLiberal36,73237,17337,29438,11538,96746,13448,787
Pat McGINLAYThe Greens8,7158,7418,8699,0339,84511,266–
Sophie WADEThe Nationals6,8997,0927,2558,1789,829––
Chandra SINGHUnited Australia Party2,7482,9633,267––––
David William SHELDONIndependent2,2472,3283,3834,285–––
James HOLGATEIndependent1,8832,005–––––
Thomas HARRISChristian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)1,157––––––

About this page

Australian House of Representatives elections use full-preferential voting: voters number every box. If no candidate has more than half the first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest is excluded and their ballots pass to each voter’s next preference, repeating until someone has more than half. Practical lesson: rank the candidate you most want to win first and the one you most want to lose last.

Source: Australian Electoral Commission, House of Representatives distribution of preferences by division (© Commonwealth of Australia, CC BY 4.0), 2019, 2022 and 2025 Federal elections. Division boundaries change between elections, so results under the same name are not like-for-like. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.

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