How Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay voted
SA2 area in New South Wales · federal division: Paterson · federal elections 2019, 2022, 2025
At the 2025 federal election, residents of Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay favoured Labor 53.1% (v Coalition 46.9%) on a two-party-preferred basis, 2.2 points to Labor since 2022. Labor led first preferences with 36.9%.
Results by election
| 2019 | 2022 | 2025 | Swing 2022→25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-party preferred | Lab 51.7 | Lab 51.0 | Lab 53.1 | Lab +2.2 |
| Labor | 38.3% | 38.4% | 36.9% | -1.5 |
| Coalition | 34.6% | 37.3% | 31.7% | -5.6 |
| Greens | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | -0.2 |
| One Nation | 15.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | -0.1 |
| Independents | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | +6.5 |
| Others | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | +0.9 |
2021 Census profile
| Indicator | Lemon Tree Passage - Tanilba Bay | Typical area |
|---|---|---|
| Median age | 50 | 39 |
| Median household income ($/week) | $1,111 | $1,753 |
| Bachelor degree or higher % | 9.7% | 21.4% |
| No religion % | 45.1% | 44.7% |
| Renting (all) % | 26.2% | 27.2% |
| Owned outright % | 43.6% | 32.7% |
| Born overseas % | 11.7% | 23.6% |
| Born in non-English-speaking country % | 4.6% | 12.5% |
Usual residents: 6,887 (5,563 aged 18+). "Typical area" is the median across all areas.
Where residents voted in 2025
| Polling place | Type | Share of residents' votes | In this area |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tanilba Bay | Ordinary | 31% | yes |
| Lemon Tree Passage | Ordinary | 23% | yes |
| Raymond Terrace PATERSON PPVC | PPVC | 14% | |
| Postal | Declaration: Postal | 14% | |
| Nelson Bay PPVC | PPVC | 7% | |
| Pre-Poll | Declaration: Pre-Poll | 2% | |
| Absent | Declaration: Absent | 2% | |
| Salt Ash | Ordinary | 2% |
Top polling places by estimated votes from this area, including postal and other declaration votes.
Other areas in Paterson
- Maitland
- East Maitland - Metford
- Rutherford (South) - Telarah
- Tenambit - East Maitland
- Thornton - Millers Forest
- Anna Bay
- Nelson Bay Peninsula
- Raymond Terrace
Sources: Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) federal election results and votes-by-SA1 files, 2019–2025; Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Australian Statistical Geography Standard Edition 3 boundaries and 2021 Census DataPacks. Both © Commonwealth of Australia, used under CC BY 4.0. Basemap © Esri, HERE, Garmin, © OpenStreetMap contributors. Area results are estimates of how residents voted, not official counts — see the methods. Built 2 November 2026. Spotted an error? Tell us.